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Towson Tigers v Elon Phoenix
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Towson Tigers (Local)
Prediction 68.69%1.46fair odd
EV -2.46%
Edge -1.73%
Kelly -5.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.59%68.65%68.89%70.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4275.19%72.02%71.43%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elon Phoenix (Visit)
Prediction 31.31%3.19fair odd
EV +0.821%
Edge +0.255%
Kelly +0.370%
Growth +0.003%
assuming max odds 3.22
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.69%31.35%31.11%33.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.793.003.003.2235.84%33.29%33.33%31.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Towson Tigers (Local): 68.69%; Elon Phoenix (Visit): 31.31%. For Elon Phoenix (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.22, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.821%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV +0.821%E +0.255%K +0.370%G +0.003% | 4.6% | 2026-02-26 14:18 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.195%E +0.061%K +0.088%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 18:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 18:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 18:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 23:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 22:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 23:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 21:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 22:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 23:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 14:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 23:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 23:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 05:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 23:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.38%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 14:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.38%K -20.77%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 14:18 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 23:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-26 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 23:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 18:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 22:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000% | 2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -12.64%E -4.53%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 23:43 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18% | 0.2% | 2026-02-26 23:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52% | 0.7% | 2026-02-26 23:44 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43% | 2.0% | 2026-02-26 23:54 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92% | 2.7% | 2026-02-26 23:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06% | 2.9% | 2026-02-26 23:05 |