L’École des cotes

Towson Tigers v Elon Phoenix

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-27 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Towson Tigers (Local)

Prévision 68.69%1.46cote équitable
EV -2.46%
Avantage -1.73%
Kelly -5.86%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.42

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.59%68.65%68.89%70.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.331.391.401.4275.19%72.02%71.43%70.42%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elon Phoenix (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.31%3.19cote équitable
EV +0.821%
Avantage +0.255%
Kelly +0.370%
Croissance +0.003%

avec la cote maximale 3.22

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.69%31.35%31.11%33.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.793.003.003.2235.84%33.29%33.33%31.06%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV +0.821%E +0.255%K +0.370%G +0.003%4.6%2026-02-26 14:18
BetMGM1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV +0.195%E +0.061%K +0.088%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 14:20
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 14:20
GTbets1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 18:50
BetOnline.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 18:50
LowVig.ag1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-26 18:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:20
Neds1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -1.37%E -0.435%K -0.638%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 23:49
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 22:49
FanDuel1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.21%E -3.77%K -13.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.94%E -0.947%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-26 23:45
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 21:19
Bovada1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 22:20
Pinnacle1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 23:54
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 14:19
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:45
TAB1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 23:45
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 05:04
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-26 23:44
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.38%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 14:19
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.27%E -5.38%K -20.77%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 14:18
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -8.64%E -6.50%K -26.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -6.07%E -2.02%K -3.03%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-26 14:20
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -5.90%E -4.30%K -15.93%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -6.38%E -2.13%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-26 23:45
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -2.46%E -1.73%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-26 18:10
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:10
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:10
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:10
ATG (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:10
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:10
Svenska Spel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:10
betPARX1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-26 18:10
Fliff1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -6.58%E -4.84%K -18.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -7.63%E -2.59%K -3.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-26 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 18:10
TABtouch1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 23:50
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 18:10
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 67.13%EV -3.15%E -2.23%K -7.68%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.87%EV -9.82%E -3.41%K -5.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-26 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 18:10
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.76%E -3.78%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-26 22:19
Marathon Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.59%EV -3.84%E -2.74%K -9.59%G +0.000%2.79I 35.84%NM 33.41%EV -12.64%E -4.53%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 23:43
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.45I 68.97%NM 68.82%3.20I 31.25%NM 31.18%0.2%2026-02-26 23:45
Novig1.45I 68.97%NM 68.48%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.52%0.7%2026-02-26 23:44
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-02-26 23:54
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-02-26 23:54
Kalshi1.43I 69.93%NM 67.94%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.06%2.9%2026-02-26 23:05