Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets v Buffalo Bulls

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

39 sportsbooks (11 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prediction 68.37%1.46fair odd
EV -2.23%
Edge -1.56%
Kelly -5.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.51%68.35%68.68%70.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.401.401.4373.53%71.61%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Buffalo Bulls (Visit)

Prediction 31.63%3.16fair odd
EV +2.16%
Edge +0.669%
Kelly +0.969%
Growth +0.021%

assuming max odds 3.23

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.78%31.65%31.32%33.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.952.903.2336.36%33.92%34.48%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toledo Rockets (Local): 68.37%; Buffalo Bulls (Visit): 31.63%. For Buffalo Bulls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.23, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.16%.

Sportsbook Odds (39 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV +2.16%E +0.669%K +0.969%G +0.021%4.0%2026-03-06 23:55
GTbets🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +1.21%E +0.378%K +0.551%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-06 23:52
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +1.21%E +0.378%K +0.551%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-06 23:39
BetUS🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.65%E -4.09%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV +0.579%E +0.182%K +0.265%G +0.002%3.9%2026-03-06 23:54
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.95%E -0.630%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 23:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.95%E -0.630%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 23:40
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.95%E -0.630%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 23:39
Caesars🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.65%E -4.09%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.95%E -0.630%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 23:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.90%E -0.945%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 23:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.90%E -0.945%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 23:55
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.53%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 23:20
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:39
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:39
1xBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -5.43%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 22:00
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.06%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:19
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.23%E -1.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.70%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:50
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.70%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.70%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:55
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.28%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 23:44
PlayUp🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.65%E -4.09%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.28%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:54
Betsson🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.28%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 23:49
NordicBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.28%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 23:49
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:25
LeoVegas🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
BetRivers🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:19
TABtouch🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:25
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:25
Bally Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.65%E -4.09%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 23:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -10.49%E -3.71%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.60%E -2.55%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -11.44%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 23:20
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.02%E -4.74%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.02%E -4.74%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-06 23:44
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-06 23:55
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-06 23:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%2.5%2026-03-06 23:55
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%8.1%2026-03-06 23:54