L’École des cotes

Toledo Rockets v Buffalo Bulls

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-07 00:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

39 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toledo Rockets (Local)

Prévision 68.37%1.46cote équitable
EV -2.23%
Avantage -1.56%
Kelly -5.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.43

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
66.51%68.35%68.68%70.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.361.401.401.4373.53%71.61%71.43%69.93%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Buffalo Bulls (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.63%3.16cote équitable
EV +2.16%
Avantage +0.669%
Kelly +0.969%
Croissance +0.021%

avec la cote maximale 3.23

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.78%31.65%31.32%33.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.952.903.2336.36%33.92%34.48%30.96%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (39 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.22%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 29.78%EV +2.16%E +0.669%K +0.969%G +0.021%4.0%2026-03-06 23:55
GTbets1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +1.21%E +0.378%K +0.551%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-06 23:52
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +1.21%E +0.378%K +0.551%G +0.007%4.2%2026-03-06 23:39
BetUS1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.65%E -4.09%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV +0.579%E +0.182%K +0.265%G +0.002%3.9%2026-03-06 23:54
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.95%E -0.630%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 23:44
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.95%E -0.630%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 23:40
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.95%E -0.630%K -0.929%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-06 23:39
Caesars1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.65%E -4.09%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -1.95%E -0.630%K -0.929%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 23:40
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.90%E -0.945%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 23:54
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.90%E -0.945%K -1.40%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-06 23:55
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.73%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.53%E -1.16%K -1.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-06 23:20
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-06 23:39
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.11%E -1.70%K -2.56%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:39
1xBet1.37I 72.99%NM 68.58%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.42%EV -5.43%E -1.82%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-06 22:00
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.59%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.41%EV -6.06%E -2.04%K -3.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-06 23:19
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -2.23%E -1.56%K -5.18%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -6.70%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-06 23:50
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.70%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:54
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.28%E -3.06%K -10.70%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.70%E -2.27%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-06 23:55
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.28%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-06 23:44
PlayUp1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.65%E -4.09%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.28%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-06 23:54
Betsson1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.28%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 23:49
NordicBet1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.33%E -4.62%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.28%E -2.85%K -4.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-06 23:49
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:19
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:19
Virgin Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:25
LeoVegas1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
LiveScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
BetRivers1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:19
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:19
Svenska Spel1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:25
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:25
Bally Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
ATG (SE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
Hard Rock Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -2.91%E -2.05%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-06 23:24
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.38%EV -5.65%E -4.09%K -14.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -9.86%E -3.46%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-06 23:39
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 67.06%EV -4.96%E -3.57%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 32.94%EV -10.49%E -3.71%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-06 23:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -3.60%E -2.55%K -8.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV -11.44%E -4.09%K -6.36%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-06 23:20
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.02%E -4.74%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 23:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 66.91%EV -7.01%E -5.16%K -19.49%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.09%EV -13.02%E -4.74%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-06 23:54
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Polymarket1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-06 23:44
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.0%2026-03-06 23:55
ProphetX1.43I 69.93%NM 69.11%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.89%1.2%2026-03-06 23:55
Novig1.41I 70.92%NM 69.21%3.17I 31.55%NM 30.79%2.5%2026-03-06 23:55
BetOpenly1.31I 76.34%NM 70.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.37%8.1%2026-03-06 23:54