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Texas Longhorns v Florida Gators
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Texas Longhorns (Local)
Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV +4.90%
Edge +1.25%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.082%
assuming max odds 3.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.88%26.94%26.68%29.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.483.503.9231.75%28.71%28.57%25.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Florida Gators (Visit)
Prediction 73.24%1.37fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -7.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.33
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.31%73.06%73.32%76.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.231.311.311.3381.30%76.58%76.34%75.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Texas Longhorns (Local): 26.76%; Florida Gators (Visit): 73.24%. For Texas Longhorns (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.90%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV +4.90%E +1.25%K +1.68%G +0.082% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%EV -9.91%E -8.06%K -43.11%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-25 23:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.36%E +1.12%K +1.50%G +0.066% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.98%E -5.50%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-02-25 23:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -0.454%E -0.122%K -0.167%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.72%E -6.12%K -29.68%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 23:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.366%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 23:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 20:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 20:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.32%E -2.52%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 23:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 23:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-25 23:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 23:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-25 20:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 23:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-25 23:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.03%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 23:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.98%E -5.50%K -25.87%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 23:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -6.88%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 23:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.32%E -2.52%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-25 23:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.33%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-25 23:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.32%E -2.52%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-25 22:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 21:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -14.90%E -4.69%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -3.32%E -2.52%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 23:34 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -15.71%E -4.99%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-25 23:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 4.24I 23.58%NM 24.01% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 75.99% | -1.8% | 2026-02-25 23:54 |
| Novig◎ | 3.89I 25.71%NM 25.62% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.38% | 0.3% | 2026-02-25 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 1.1% | 2026-02-25 20:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71% | 1.4% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 1.7% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |