L’École des cotes

Texas Longhorns v Florida Gators

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-25 23:59 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Texas Longhorns (Local)

Prévision 26.76%3.74cote équitable
EV +4.90%
Avantage +1.25%
Kelly +1.68%
Croissance +0.082%

avec la cote maximale 3.92

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.88%26.94%26.68%29.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.483.503.9231.75%28.71%28.57%25.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Florida Gators (Visiteur)

Prévision 73.24%1.37cote équitable
EV -2.59%
Avantage -1.95%
Kelly -7.85%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.31%73.06%73.32%76.12%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.231.311.311.3381.30%76.58%76.34%75.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
SportsBet3.92I 25.51%NM 23.88%EV +4.90%E +1.25%K +1.68%G +0.082%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.12%EV -9.91%E -8.06%K -43.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-25 23:09
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV +4.36%E +1.12%K +1.50%G +0.066%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -6.98%E -5.50%K -25.87%G +0.000%4.4%2026-02-25 23:05
1xBet3.72I 26.88%NM 25.30%EV -0.454%E -0.122%K -0.167%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.70%EV -7.72%E -6.12%K -29.68%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-25 23:14
BetOnline.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 23:50
LowVig.ag3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-25 23:55
theScore Bet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:19
Caesars3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -0.990%E -0.267%K -0.366%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.03%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-25 23:54
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 23:25
DraftKings3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 20:10
GTbets3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-25 20:09
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-25 20:10
PointsBet (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 23:20
BetUS3.58I 27.93%NM 26.94%EV -4.20%E -1.17%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.06%EV -3.32%E -2.52%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-25 23:55
888sport3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:19
Mr Green (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:10
888sport (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -5.00%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-25 23:20
Bovada3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 23:25
Hard Rock Bet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -4.06%E -3.10%K -13.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-25 20:09
Ladbrokes (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:25
Neds3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-25 23:25
William Hill3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.52%E -4.28%K -19.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 23:04
Fliff3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.34%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.98%E -5.50%K -25.87%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-25 23:25
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 27.65%EV -6.88%E -1.98%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.35%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-25 23:45
Fanatics3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:54
Virgin Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:55
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:54
LiveScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:55
Bally Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:55
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:55
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:54
betPARX3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-25 23:54
TAB3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -3.32%E -2.52%K -10.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-25 23:24
Betsson3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:04
NordicBet3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:25
Coral3.40I 29.41%NM 27.35%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.65%EV -6.25%E -4.88%K -22.33%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-25 23:24
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -3.32%E -2.52%K -10.38%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-25 22:45
PlayUp3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -11.69%E -3.54%K -5.08%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -4.79%E -3.68%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 21:24
BetRivers3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:54
Unibet (NL)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:55
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -14.37%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-25 23:54
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -14.90%E -4.69%K -6.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -3.32%E -2.52%K -10.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-25 23:34
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -15.71%E -4.99%K -7.31%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -2.59%E -1.95%K -7.85%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-25 23:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly4.24I 23.58%NM 24.01%1.34I 74.63%NM 75.99%-1.8%2026-02-25 23:54
Novig3.89I 25.71%NM 25.62%1.34I 74.63%NM 74.38%0.3%2026-02-25 23:40
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%1.1%2026-02-25 20:45
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.71%1.4%2026-02-25 23:50
Polymarket3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%1.7%2026-02-25 23:50