Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers v Vanderbilt Commodores

Kickoff: 2026-03-07 19:10 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 59.01%1.69fair odd
EV -0.267%
Edge -0.158%
Kelly -0.387%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.69

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.89%58.89%58.93%60.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.631.631.6964.52%61.35%61.35%59.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit)

Prediction 40.99%2.44fair odd
EV -1.63%
Edge -0.680%
Kelly -1.17%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.85%41.11%41.07%43.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.282.252.4045.45%43.89%44.44%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 59.01%; Vanderbilt Commodores (Visit): 40.99%. For Tennessee Volunteers (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.695. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.690, with an expected value of -0.267%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.267%E -0.158%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 18:59
Bovada🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.267%E -0.158%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 19:04
Pinnacle🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -0.267%E -0.158%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 18:59
Everygame🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.45%E -0.866%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 18:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.45%E -0.866%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:04
betPARX🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.55%E -2.87%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:05
LeoVegas🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:05
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Svenska Spel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
ATG (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Bally Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Bet Right🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -9.01%E -4.06%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 18:59
theScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:05
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.09%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 18:59
DraftKings🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:05
Unibet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:04
Unibet (NL)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:04
BetRivers🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 18:59
TABtouch🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:04
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.63%E -0.680%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:02
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.63%E -0.680%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:04
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:04
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Fanatics🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Fliff🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.63%E -0.680%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 19:02
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 19:04
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:04
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:04
1xBet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -8.19%E -3.66%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:59
Betsson🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 18:59
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:00
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 19:04
Coral🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 19:05
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-07 19:04
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-07 18:59
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 70.76%2.42I 41.32%NM 29.24%41.3%2026-03-07 19:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-07 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-07 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-07 19:04