La escuela de los momios

Tennessee Volunteers v Vanderbilt Commodores

Inicio: 2026-03-07 19:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Predicción 59.01%1.69momio equitativo
EV -0.267%
Ventaja -0.158%
Kelly -0.387%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.69

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.89%58.89%58.93%60.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.631.631.6964.52%61.35%61.35%59.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Vanderbilt Commodores (Visitante)

Predicción 40.99%2.44momio equitativo
EV -1.63%
Ventaja -0.680%
Kelly -1.17%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.85%41.11%41.07%43.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.282.252.4045.45%43.89%44.44%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
GTbets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.267%E -0.158%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 18:59
Bovada1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -0.267%E -0.158%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-07 19:04
Pinnacle1.69I 59.17%NM 56.89%EV -0.267%E -0.158%K -0.387%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 43.11%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-07 18:59
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 57.93%EV -1.45%E -0.866%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.07%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 18:59
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -1.45%E -0.866%K -2.16%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:04
betPARX1.66I 60.24%NM 57.87%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 42.13%EV -6.55%E -2.87%K -5.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:05
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:05
LiveScore Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:05
Virgin Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Svenska Spel1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
ATG (SE)1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Bally Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-07 19:04
Bet Right1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -2.04%E -1.23%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -9.01%E -4.06%K -7.39%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-07 18:59
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-07 19:05
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -4.09%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.3%2026-03-07 18:59
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-07 19:05
Unibet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:04
Unibet (NL)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:04
BetRivers1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -2.63%E -1.59%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 19:04
Betr (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.84%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.16%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-07 18:59
TABtouch1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -3.22%E -1.96%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -8.60%E -3.86%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-07 19:04
PointsBet (AU)1.63I 61.35%NM 59.05%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.95%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-07 18:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 19:04
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -3.81%E -2.34%K -6.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-07 18:59
LowVig.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.63%E -0.680%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:02
BetOnline.ag1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.63%E -0.680%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.4%2026-03-07 19:04
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -3.68%E -1.57%K -2.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-07 19:04
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Fanatics1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Fliff1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.40%E -2.71%K -7.09%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -9.83%E -4.47%K -8.19%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.63%E -0.680%K -1.17%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-07 19:02
FanDuel1.61I 62.11%NM 59.45%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.55%EV -3.27%E -1.39%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-07 19:04
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.99%E -3.10%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-07 19:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:04
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.58%E -3.49%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-07 19:04
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 58.49%EV -6.17%E -3.88%K -10.45%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 41.51%EV -8.19%E -3.66%K -6.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-07 18:59
Betsson1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 18:59
NordicBet1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.76%E -4.28%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-07 18:59
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:00
SportsBet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -5.73%E -2.49%K -4.41%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-07 19:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 19:04
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.35%E -4.68%K -12.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -7.78%E -3.46%K -6.22%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-07 19:05
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -8.53%E -5.50%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -4.09%E -1.75%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-07 18:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
ProphetX1.70I 58.82%NM 58.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.46%0.5%2026-03-07 19:04
BetOpenly1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-03-07 18:59
Polymarket1.69I 59.17%NM 58.48%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.52%1.2%2026-03-07 19:04
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 70.76%2.42I 41.32%NM 29.24%41.3%2026-03-07 19:04
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-07 19:05
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-07 19:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-03-07 19:04