Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers v Auburn Tigers

Kickoff: 2026-03-12 19:25 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

44 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Prediction 68.32%1.46fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.61%
Kelly -5.35%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.43

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.79%68.19%68.24%70.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.80%71.43%69.93%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Auburn Tigers (Visit)

Prediction 31.68%3.16fair odd
EV +2.64%
Edge +0.815%
Kelly +1.18%
Growth +0.031%

assuming max odds 3.24

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.72%31.81%31.76%34.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.962.993.2436.36%33.73%33.44%30.86%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Tennessee Volunteers (Local): 68.32%; Auburn Tigers (Visit): 31.68%. For Auburn Tigers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.16. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.24, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.64%.

Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV +2.64%E +0.815%K +1.18%G +0.031%3.9%2026-03-12 18:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.79%E -0.579%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 18:59
Bovada🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.79%E -0.579%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:16
BetUS🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.74%E -0.894%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 19:20
ReBet🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.06%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 19:00
Everygame🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.67%E -2.60%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 18:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:20
Caesars🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:20
FanDuel🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:00
theScore Bet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:10
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:00
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:00
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
Fanatics🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:10
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
Bet Right🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:59
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 18:59
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -5.60%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 19:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:56
TABtouch🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:00
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:00
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:05
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 18:59
NordicBet🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 18:59
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.30%E -1.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.71%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:15
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.71%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.30%E -4.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:00
Coral🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.30%E -4.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:00
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.30%E -1.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.88%E -4.68%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:15
1xBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -3.67%E -2.60%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -12.88%E -4.68%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 18:59
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.88%E -4.68%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 19:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-03-12 18:59
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-03-12 19:20
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-03-12 19:20
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%3.0%2026-03-12 19:20
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%5.2%2026-03-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%9.8%2026-03-12 19:20