La escuela de los momios

Tennessee Volunteers v Auburn Tigers

Inicio: 2026-03-12 19:25 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Tennessee Volunteers (Local)

Predicción 68.32%1.46momio equitativo
EV -2.30%
Ventaja -1.61%
Kelly -5.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.43

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.79%68.19%68.24%70.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.391.401.4374.07%71.80%71.43%69.93%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Auburn Tigers (Visitante)

Predicción 31.68%3.16momio equitativo
EV +2.64%
Ventaja +0.815%
Kelly +1.18%
Crecimiento +0.031%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.24

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.72%31.81%31.76%34.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.962.993.2436.36%33.73%33.44%30.86%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Pinnacle1.37I 72.99%NM 70.28%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 29.72%EV +2.64%E +0.815%K +1.18%G +0.031%3.9%2026-03-12 18:59
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -1.79%E -0.579%K -0.854%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 18:59
Bovada1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -6.40%E -4.67%K -17.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -1.79%E -0.579%K -0.854%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:16
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.68%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.07I 32.57%NM 31.32%EV -2.74%E -0.894%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-12 19:20
ReBet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -3.06%E -1.00%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-12 19:00
Everygame1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -3.67%E -2.60%K -8.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 18:59
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:20
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:20
Caesars1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-12 19:20
FanDuel1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -3.38%E -1.11%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:00
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 19:10
GTbets1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:00
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:00
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
LiveScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:10
betPARX1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
ATG (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
Bally Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-12 19:20
Bet Right1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:59
Betr (AU)1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -5.03%E -3.62%K -12.91%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:59
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -4.96%E -1.65%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 18:59
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.66%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.34%EV -5.60%E -1.88%K -2.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-12 19:20
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Virgin Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Unibet (NL)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Unibet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
BetRivers1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 19:00
Hard Rock Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 18:56
TABtouch1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:00
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -6.55%E -2.22%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.4%2026-03-12 19:00
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.98%E -2.10%K -7.11%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 19:00
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.72%E -4.14%K -15.05%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:05
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 18:59
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -7.77%E -5.75%K -22.19%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -8.13%E -2.80%K -4.28%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-12 18:59
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -2.30%E -1.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -9.71%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 19:15
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -9.71%E -3.41%K -5.25%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 18:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.30%E -4.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:00
Coral1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -7.08%E -5.21%K -19.68%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -11.30%E -4.03%K -6.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-12 19:00
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -2.30%E -1.61%K -5.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -12.88%E -4.68%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-12 19:15
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -3.67%E -2.60%K -8.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -12.88%E -4.68%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 18:59
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.35%E -3.11%K -10.88%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.88%E -4.68%K -7.36%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 19:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.43I 69.93%NM 69.77%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.23%0.2%2026-03-12 18:59
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 68.57%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.43%2.0%2026-03-12 19:20
Novig1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%2.7%2026-03-12 19:20
Kalshi1.41I 70.92%NM 68.87%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.13%3.0%2026-03-12 19:20
ProphetX1.40I 71.43%NM 67.89%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.11%5.2%2026-03-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%6.9%2026-03-12 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 67.47%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.53%9.8%2026-03-12 19:20