Language:English
TCU Horned Frogs v West Virginia Mountaineers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
TCU Horned Frogs (Local)
Prediction 65.32%1.53fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -4.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.29%65.37%65.27%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.86%68.97%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit)
Prediction 34.68%2.88fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.408%
Kelly -0.629%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.33%34.63%34.73%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.732.752.8538.46%36.64%36.43%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: TCU Horned Frogs (Local): 65.32%; West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit): 34.68%. For West Virginia Mountaineers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.88. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -1.16%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-02-21 21:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 21:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 21:28 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-21 21:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.16%E -0.408%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 21:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.16%E -0.408%K -0.629%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 19:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -8.45%E -3.20%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.33%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.26%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 21:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 67.74% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 32.26% | -1.6% | 2026-02-21 21:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70% | 0.8% | 2026-02-21 21:40 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63% | 1.1% | 2026-02-21 21:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33% | 2.2% | 2026-02-21 21:55 |