L’École des cotes

TCU Horned Frogs v West Virginia Mountaineers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-21 22:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

40 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

TCU Horned Frogs (Local)

Prévision 65.32%1.53cote équitable
EV -2.02%
Avantage -1.35%
Kelly -4.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.29%65.37%65.27%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.451.5071.43%68.86%68.97%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

West Virginia Mountaineers (Visiteur)

Prévision 34.68%2.88cote équitable
EV -1.16%
Avantage -0.408%
Kelly -0.629%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.33%34.63%34.73%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.602.732.752.8538.46%36.64%36.43%35.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (40 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 21:30
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-21 21:29
Bovada1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 21:50
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 21:30
Pinnacle1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -2.02%E -1.35%K -4.04%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 21:45
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 21:28
theScore Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-21 21:30
BetMGM1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.33%E -2.25%K -6.93%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-21 21:30
TAB1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -3.98%E -2.71%K -8.47%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-21 21:30
DraftKings1.46I 68.49%NM 65.73%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.27%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-21 21:49
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 21:35
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 21:30
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 21:30
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.63%E -3.17%K -10.07%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 21:40
888sport1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Mr Green (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:34
888sport (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:40
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:40
Svenska Spel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-21 21:35
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:35
TABtouch1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:30
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.29%E -3.64%K -11.74%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-21 21:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.16%E -0.408%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 21:29
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.16%E -0.408%K -0.629%G +0.000%4.5%2026-02-21 19:00
FanDuel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 21:30
Hard Rock Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 21:35
Marathon Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.71%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.29%EV -8.45%E -3.20%K -5.15%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 21:30
Ladbrokes (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 21:30
Coral1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.94%E -4.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -9.83%E -3.78%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-21 21:30
Fliff1.43I 69.93%NM 64.95%EV -6.59%E -4.61%K -15.33%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.05%EV -8.10%E -3.06%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 21:30
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 21:30
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.24%E -5.10%K -17.25%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.37%E -2.36%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-21 21:30
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 21:30
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -7.90%E -5.60%K -19.26%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -4.98%E -1.82%K -2.86%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-21 21:30
PlayUp1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -2.90%E -1.03%K -1.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 21:30
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.55%E -6.11%K -21.38%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.63%E -1.68%K -2.65%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-21 21:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 67.74%3.15I 31.75%NM 32.26%-1.6%2026-02-21 21:50
Kalshi1.52I 65.79%NM 65.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.70%0.8%2026-02-21 21:40
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-02-21 21:35
Novig1.49I 67.11%NM 65.67%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.33%2.2%2026-02-21 21:55