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Syracuse Orange v North Carolina Tar Heels
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Syracuse Orange (Local)
Prediction 54.37%1.84fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.19%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.16%54.38%54.26%55.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.12%57.14%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)
Prediction 45.63%2.19fair odd
EV -1.89%
Edge -0.878%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.70%45.62%45.74%46.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.052.1550.00%48.42%48.78%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Syracuse Orange (Local): 54.37%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 45.63%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.15, with an expected value of -1.89%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 17:51 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:53 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 17:53 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.26%E -1.54%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 17:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-21 17:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 17:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-21 17:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.54%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48% | 2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52% | 0.3% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64% | 0.9% | 2026-02-21 17:50 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32% | 2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68% | 2.5% | 2026-02-21 17:55 |