Syracuse Orange v North Carolina Tar Heels

Inicio: 2026-02-21 17:59 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

41 corredores (13 en el análisis )

54%

46%

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Syracuse Orange (Local)

Predicción 54.37%1.84momio equitativo

EV -2.14%

Ventaja -1.19%

Kelly -2.68%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

53.16%54.38%54.26%55.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

1.701.751.751.8058.82%57.12%57.14%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visitante)

Predicción 45.63%2.19momio equitativo

EV -1.89%

Ventaja -0.878%

Kelly -1.64%

Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores

44.70%45.62%45.74%46.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Distribución de los momios

2.002.072.052.1550.00%48.42%48.78%46.51%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

Corredor	Local ▼	Visitante	Margen	Actualizado
GTbets	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 17:51
BetMGM	1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.14%E -1.19%K -2.68%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-02-21 17:55
LeoVegas	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 17:55
LiveScore Bet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 17:55
Virgin Bet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 17:50
Svenska Spel	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 17:50
Bally Bet	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 17:55
ATG (SE)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 17:55
betPARX	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -5.99%E -2.91%K -5.66%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-02-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 17:40
Neds	1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.23%E -1.81%K -4.14%G +0.000%	2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.82%E -3.87%K -7.67%G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-02-21 17:40
Betway	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 17:55
PointsBet (AU)	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 17:55
Bovada	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 17:53
Caesars	1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%	4.1%	2026-02-21 17:53
Unibet (NL)	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 17:55
Unibet	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 17:55
BetRivers	1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.77%E -2.13%K -4.90%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-02-21 17:50
Pinnacle	1.76I 56.82%NM 54.64%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%	2.12I 47.17%NM 45.36%EV -3.26%E -1.54%K -2.91%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-21 17:55
TABtouch	1.76I 56.82%NM 53.68%EV -4.32%E -2.45%K -5.68%G +0.000%	2.04I 49.02%NM 46.32%EV -6.91%E -3.39%K -6.64%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-02-21 17:50
888sport	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-21 17:40
888sport (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-21 17:45
Mr Green (SE)	1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.86%E -2.78%K -6.48%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-02-21 17:40
theScore Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-21 17:55
Hard Rock Bet	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-21 17:55
LowVig.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-21 17:55
BetOnline.ag	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-21 17:55
BetUS	1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.89%E -0.878%K -1.64%G +0.000%	4.0%	2026-02-21 17:54
TAB	1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.40%E -3.10%K -7.30%G +0.000%	2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%EV -4.17%E -1.99%K -3.79%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-02-21 17:50
FanDuel	1.73I 57.80%NM 55.30%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.14I 46.73%NM 44.70%EV -2.34%E -1.10%K -2.06%G +0.000%	4.5%	2026-02-21 17:50
William Hill	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-21 17:44
1xBet	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-21 17:35
BoyleSports	1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.95%E -3.44%K -8.15%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-02-21 17:40
PlayUp	1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -6.49%E -3.77%K -9.01%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-02-21 17:50
Marathon Bet	1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-02-21 17:54
Fliff	1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -7.03%E -4.11%K -9.91%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-02-21 17:45
SportsBet	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%	2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -5.54%E -2.68%K -5.18%G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-02-21 17:50
NordicBet	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-21 17:55
Betsson	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%	2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.45%E -3.15%K -6.14%G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-02-21 17:55
Coral	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-02-21 17:55
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.58%E -4.46%K -10.82%G +0.000%	2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.73%E -4.37%K -8.73%G +0.000%	8.8%	2026-02-21 17:55

Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

Corredor	Local	Visitante	Margen ▲	Actualizado
ProphetX	1.83I 54.64%NM 54.48%	2.19I 45.66%NM 45.52%	0.3%	2026-02-21 17:55
Novig	1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%	0.6%	2026-02-21 17:55
Kalshi	1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%	2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%	0.9%	2026-02-21 17:50
Polymarket	1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%	2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%	1.9%	2026-02-21 17:55
BetOpenly	1.83I 54.64%NM 53.32%	2.09I 47.85%NM 46.68%	2.5%	2026-02-21 17:55