Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks v Rice Owls

Kickoff: 2026-11-14 19:03 UTC

Final: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 78–81 Rice Owls

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (12 in analysis )

79%

21%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Local)

Prediction 79.14%1.26fair odd

EV -3.45%

Edge -2.83%

Kelly -15.67%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.22

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

76.92%79.26%79.31%81.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.51%83.33%81.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Rice Owls (Visit)

Prediction 20.86%4.79fair odd

EV +6.38%

Edge +1.25%

Kelly +1.56%

Growth +0.099%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

18.92%20.74%20.69%23.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Odds’ distribution

4.004.514.505.1025.00%22.20%22.22%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (Local): 79.14%; Rice Owls (Visit): 20.86%. For Rice Owls (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.79. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.38%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

Bookmaker	Local	Visit ▼	Margin	Updated
Pinnacle🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.64%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +6.38%E +1.25%K +1.56%G +0.099%	3.6%	2026-11-14 18:40
Everygame🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.64%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +4.29%E +0.859%K +1.07%G +0.046%	4.0%	2026-11-14 19:00
Fanatics🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.29%E +0.859%K +1.07%G +0.046%	4.7%	2026-11-14 16:05
Bovada🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.21%E +0.450%K +0.566%G +0.012%	5.2%	2026-11-14 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.922%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 18:59
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.24%E -3.50%K -20.19%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.96%E -0.418%K -0.531%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-14 19:00
ReBet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.64%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.96%E -0.418%K -0.531%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 18:55
Bet Right🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
BetRivers🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
Unibet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
betPARX🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 16:18
theScore Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:59
TABtouch🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-14 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-14 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-14 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-14 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-14 16:19
BoyleSports🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.40%E -6.33%K -43.56%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-14 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.40%E -6.33%K -43.56%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-14 18:55
picklebet_au🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 19:00
Caesars🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.24%E -3.50%K -20.19%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:59
FanDuel🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-14 18:55
NordicBet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-14 18:55
Betsson🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-14 18:55
888sport🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-14 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-14 18:59
William Hill🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-14 19:00
Paddy Power🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-14 15:30
Casumo🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-14 18:55
TAB🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 18:50
1xBet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.24%E -3.50%K -20.19%G +0.000%	4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -10.93%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-14 15:35
BetMGM🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.24%E -3.50%K -20.19%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -11.35%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 19:00
SportsBet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.35%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-14 18:55
Neds🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 18:54
Coral🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-14 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-14 18:55

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

Bookmaker	Local	Visit	Margin ▲	Updated
BetOpenly◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 81.11%	5.28I 18.94%NM 18.89%	0.2%	2026-11-14 18:59
Novig◎	1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30%	5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70%	1.7%	2026-11-14 19:00
Kalshi◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%	5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%	2.3%	2026-11-14 17:05
Polymarket◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%	5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%	2.3%	2026-11-14 19:00
ProphetX◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%	4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%	3.5%	2026-11-14 19:00

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