默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks v Rice Owls

开赛时间： 2026-11-14 19:03 UTC

最终结果： Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks 78–81 Rice Owls

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

43 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

79%

21%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (主队)

预测 79.14%1.26公平赔率

EV -3.45%

优势 -2.83%

Kelly -15.67%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.22

博彩公司预测分布

76.92%79.26%79.31%81.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.171.201.201.2285.47%83.51%83.33%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

Rice Owls (客队)

预测 20.86%4.79公平赔率

EV +6.38%

优势 +1.25%

Kelly +1.56%

增长率 +0.099%

假设最高赔率为 5.10

博彩公司预测分布

18.92%20.74%20.69%23.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

4.004.514.505.1025.00%22.20%22.22%19.61%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks (主队)：79.14%；Rice Owls (客队)：20.86%。对于“Rice Owls (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.79。当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.10，对应+6.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (43 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
Pinnacle🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 81.08%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.64%G +0.000%	5.10I 19.61%NM 18.92%EV +6.38%E +1.25%K +1.56%G +0.099%	3.6%	2026-11-14 18:40
Everygame🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.64%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV +4.29%E +0.859%K +1.07%G +0.046%	4.0%	2026-11-14 19:00
Fanatics🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +4.29%E +0.859%K +1.07%G +0.046%	4.7%	2026-11-14 16:05
Bovada🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV +2.21%E +0.450%K +0.566%G +0.012%	5.2%	2026-11-14 18:34
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.83%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.75I 21.05%NM 20.17%EV -0.922%E -0.194%K -0.246%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 18:59
DraftKings🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -4.24%E -3.50%K -20.19%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV -1.96%E -0.418%K -0.531%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-14 19:00
ReBet🎯	1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -5.82%E -4.89%K -30.64%G +0.000%	4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -1.96%E -0.418%K -0.531%G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-11-14 18:55
Bet Right🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:55
Virgin Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
BetRivers🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
Unibet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
betPARX🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
ATG (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:40
Bally Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 16:18
theScore Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:59
TABtouch🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-14 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-14 18:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-14 18:40
Svenska Spel🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -4.05%E -0.881%K -1.13%G +0.000%	6.5%	2026-11-14 18:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-11-14 16:19
BoyleSports🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.40%E -6.33%K -43.56%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-14 18:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -7.40%E -6.33%K -43.56%G +0.000%	4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -6.14%E -1.36%K -1.75%G +0.000%	7.7%	2026-11-14 18:55
picklebet_au🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 19:00
Caesars🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%	4.4%	2026-11-14 18:54
Betr (AU)🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -4.24%E -3.50%K -20.19%G +0.000%	4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -7.18%E -1.61%K -2.08%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:59
FanDuel🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%	4.7%	2026-11-14 18:55
NordicBet🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-14 18:55
Betsson🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.22%E -1.87%K -2.42%G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-11-14 18:55
888sport🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-14 18:59
888sport (SE)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-14 18:59
William Hill🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-14 19:00
Paddy Power🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-14 15:30
Casumo🎯	1.18I 84.75%NM 78.58%EV -6.61%E -5.60%K -36.74%G +0.000%	4.33I 23.09%NM 21.42%EV -9.68%E -2.24%K -2.91%G +0.000%	7.8%	2026-11-14 18:55
TAB🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -10.31%E -2.40%K -3.12%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 18:50
1xBet🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -4.24%E -3.50%K -20.19%G +0.000%	4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -10.93%E -2.56%K -3.34%G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-11-14 15:35
BetMGM🎯	1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -4.24%E -3.50%K -20.19%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -11.35%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 19:00
SportsBet🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -11.35%E -2.67%K -3.49%G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-11-14 18:55
Neds🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 18:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -3.45%E -2.83%K -15.67%G +0.000%	4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -12.39%E -2.95%K -3.87%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 18:54
Coral🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-14 18:55
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -5.03%E -4.19%K -25.15%G +0.000%	4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -16.57%E -4.14%K -5.52%G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-11-14 18:55

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
BetOpenly◎	1.23I 81.30%NM 81.11%	5.28I 18.94%NM 18.89%	0.2%	2026-11-14 18:59
Novig◎	1.21I 82.64%NM 81.30%	5.26I 19.01%NM 18.70%	1.7%	2026-11-14 19:00
Kalshi◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%	5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%	2.3%	2026-11-14 17:05
Polymarket◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 81.42%	5.26I 19.01%NM 18.58%	2.3%	2026-11-14 19:00
ProphetX◎	1.20I 83.33%NM 80.49%	4.95I 20.20%NM 19.51%	3.5%	2026-11-14 19:00

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