Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.06
assuming max odds 12.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: St. Bonaventure Bonnies (Local): 90.72%; Lafayette Leopards (Visit): 9.28%. For Lafayette Leopards (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.78. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 12.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +16.92%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV +16.92%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.247% | 4.1% | 2026-11-14 16:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +11.35%E +0.946%K +1.03%G +0.117% | 4.5% | 2026-11-14 16:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.07%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-11-14 16:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.07%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.004% | 3.4% | 2026-11-14 20:59 |
| picklebet_au🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.07%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.92%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 10.62I 9.42%NM 9.08%EV -1.45%E -0.137%K -0.151%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-11-14 20:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.91%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV -1.64%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-11-14 18:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -2.56%E -0.244%K -0.270%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-11-14 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -4.88%E -0.477%K -0.528%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-14 15:50 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.58%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 10.10I 9.90%NM 9.42%EV -6.28%E -0.621%K -0.690%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-11-14 18:35 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 18:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 13:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 13:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 13:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 13:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-11-14 20:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -9.52%E -0.977%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 20:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 20:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 20:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 20:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-11-14 20:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-14 20:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-14 20:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-14 13:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-11-14 20:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.26%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-11-14 13:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -14.16%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-11-14 18:26 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 13:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 13:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-11-14 13:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-11-14 17:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-11-14 18:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-11-14 19:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-11-14 15:55 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59% | 11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41% | 1.1% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.6% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.41% | 9.90I 10.10%NM 9.59% | 5.3% | 2026-11-14 21:00 |
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