默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Bonaventure Bonnies v Lafayette Leopards

开赛时间： 2026-11-14 21:03 UTC

最终结果： St. Bonaventure Bonnies 81–58 Lafayette Leopards

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

44 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

91%

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

St. Bonaventure Bonnies (主队)

预测 90.72%1.10公平赔率

EV -3.84%

优势 -3.62%

Kelly -63.94%

增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.06

博彩公司预测分布

89.46%90.76%90.71%92.38%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

1.021.051.051.0698.04%95.49%95.24%94.34%最小值均值中位数最大值

Lafayette Leopards (客队)

预测 9.28%10.78公平赔率

EV +16.92%

优势 +1.34%

Kelly +1.46%

增长率 +0.247%

假设最高赔率为 12.60

博彩公司预测分布

7.62%9.24%9.29%10.54%最小值均值中位数最大值

赔率分布

9.009.899.6312.6011.11%10.11%10.39%7.94%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：St. Bonaventure Bonnies (主队)：90.72%；Lafayette Leopards (客队)：9.28%。对于“Lafayette Leopards (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为10.78。当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为12.60，对应+16.92%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (44 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司	主队	客队 ▼	利润率	更新时间
FanDuel🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.38%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	12.60I 7.94%NM 7.62%EV +16.92%E +1.34%K +1.46%G +0.247%	4.1%	2026-11-14 16:15
theScore Bet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 92.02%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	12.00I 8.33%NM 7.98%EV +11.35%E +0.946%K +1.03%G +0.117%	4.5%	2026-11-14 16:40
Fanatics🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.07%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.004%	3.4%	2026-11-14 16:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 91.21%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.79%EV +2.07%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.004%	3.4%	2026-11-14 20:59
picklebet_au🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV +2.07%E +0.189%K +0.207%G +0.004%	5.2%	2026-11-14 21:00
Pinnacle🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.92%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	10.62I 9.42%NM 9.08%EV -1.45%E -0.137%K -0.151%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-14 20:55
GTbets🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.91%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	10.60I 9.43%NM 9.09%EV -1.64%E -0.154%K -0.171%G +0.000%	3.8%	2026-11-14 18:35
DraftKings🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.83%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	10.50I 9.52%NM 9.17%EV -2.56%E -0.244%K -0.270%G +0.000%	3.9%	2026-11-14 16:35
Betr (AU)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.71%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	10.25I 9.76%NM 9.29%EV -4.88%E -0.477%K -0.528%G +0.000%	5.0%	2026-11-14 15:50
ReBet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.58%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	10.10I 9.90%NM 9.42%EV -6.28%E -0.621%K -0.690%G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-11-14 18:35
Caesars🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	4.3%	2026-11-14 21:00
Bet Right🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 18:35
Bovada🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 18:30
1xBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 13:50
888sport🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 13:20
888sport (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 13:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 13:20
Paddy Power🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 13:45
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 13:45
Coral🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 13:44
William Hill🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -7.20%E -0.720%K -0.801%G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-11-14 20:50
BetMGM🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.36%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	9.75I 10.26%NM 9.64%EV -9.52%E -0.977%K -1.09%G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-11-14 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 20:50
Virgin Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 20:45
LiveScore Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 20:50
Unibet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 20:45
BetRivers🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 20:45
Bally Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 20:50
betPARX🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 20:45
ATG (SE)🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-11-14 20:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-14 20:50
Unibet (SE)🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-14 20:45
TABtouch🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-14 20:50
SportsBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-14 13:45
Svenska Spel🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 90.13%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.87%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-11-14 20:45
Casumo🎯	1.02I 98.04%NM 90.30%EV -7.47%E -7.32%K -373.26%G +0.000%	9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV -11.84%E -1.25%K -1.39%G +0.000%	8.6%	2026-11-14 13:49
Everygame🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -14.16%E -1.53%K -1.72%G +0.000%	5.2%	2026-11-14 18:26
TAB🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 13:45
Neds🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 13:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯	1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -3.84%E -3.62%K -63.94%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%	5.5%	2026-11-14 13:45
BoyleSports🎯	1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -4.74%E -4.52%K -94.87%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%	6.3%	2026-11-14 17:14
Betsson🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-11-14 18:10
NordicBet🎯	1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -5.65%E -5.43%K -141.27%G +0.000%	9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -16.48%E -1.83%K -2.06%G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-11-14 19:00

利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司	主队	客队	利润率 ▲	更新时间
Kalshi◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%	12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%	0.6%	2026-11-14 15:55
Novig◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 91.59%	11.76I 8.50%NM 8.41%	1.1%	2026-11-14 21:00
Polymarket◎	1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%	11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%	1.6%	2026-11-14 21:00
ProphetX◎	1.05I 95.24%NM 90.41%	9.90I 10.10%NM 9.59%	5.3%	2026-11-14 21:00

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