Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.47
assuming max odds 2.95
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Southern Jaguars (Local): 66.29%; Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit): 33.71%. For Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.95, with an expected value of -0.542%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.56%E -1.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 19:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.56%E -1.74%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-12 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 17:03 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-12 16:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.91%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 18:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.91%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 17:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.91%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-12 20:27 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-12 20:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-12 16:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.542%E -0.184%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.542%E -0.184%K -0.278%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-12 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.23%E -0.768%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 16:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.23%E -0.768%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 18:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.23%E -0.768%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-12 18:34 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.90%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.91%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-12 23:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-12 17:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.27%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-12 19:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-12 16:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 23:39 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 18:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-12 20:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.67%E -4.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.67%E -4.45%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-12 17:30 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.61% | 3.09I 32.36%NM 32.39% | -0.1% | 2026-03-12 19:45 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78% | 0.7% | 2026-03-13 00:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.6% | 2026-03-12 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33% | 2.0% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-03-13 00:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79% | 2.1% | 2026-03-13 00:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10% | 2.5% | 2026-03-13 00:24 |