L’École des cotes

Southern Jaguars v Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-13 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (12 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Southern Jaguars (Local)

Prévision 66.29%1.51cote équitable
EV -2.56%
Avantage -1.74%
Kelly -5.45%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.47

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
64.90%66.26%66.35%67.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.441.441.4771.43%69.66%69.44%68.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions (Visiteur)

Prévision 33.71%2.97cote équitable
EV -0.542%
Avantage -0.184%
Kelly -0.278%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.65%33.74%33.65%35.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.622.782.752.9538.17%36.02%36.36%33.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.56%E -1.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 19:05
Pinnacle1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.56%E -1.74%K -5.45%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-12 17:15
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 16:20
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-12 16:20
Unibet1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -3.22%E -2.21%K -7.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-12 16:20
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:29
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 17:03
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:20
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:20
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:20
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:20
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-12 16:19
TAB1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-13 00:25
Unibet (NL)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 16:20
BetRivers1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -3.89%E -2.68%K -8.64%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-12 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.91%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 18:20
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.91%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 17:00
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.91%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-12 20:27
Bet Right1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:25
Betr (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.60%E -2.00%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-12 20:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 17:30
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-12 17:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 16:20
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 16:20
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -4.55%E -3.16%K -10.34%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-12 16:20
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.542%E -0.184%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 18:30
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -0.542%E -0.184%K -0.278%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-12 18:29
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.23%E -0.768%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 16:59
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.23%E -0.768%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 18:10
Everygame1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.23%E -0.768%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-12 18:34
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV -2.90%E -1.01%K -1.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-12 19:35
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.21%E -3.64%K -12.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.91%E -1.37%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-12 23:45
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-12 17:05
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -5.87%E -4.14%K -13.99%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.97%E -3.32%K -5.28%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-12 17:30
SportsBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.35%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.65%EV -6.27%E -2.26%K -3.52%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-12 19:35
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.54%E -4.64%K -15.94%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-12 16:25
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 23:39
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 23:39
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 18:10
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.29%E -2.65%K -4.16%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-12 20:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.67%E -4.45%K -7.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 17:30
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.20%E -5.14%K -18.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.67%E -4.45%K -7.20%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-12 17:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.61%3.09I 32.36%NM 32.39%-0.1%2026-03-12 19:45
ProphetX1.50I 66.67%NM 66.22%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.78%0.7%2026-03-13 00:25
Polymarket1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67%1.0%2026-03-13 00:10
Novig1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.6%2026-03-12 23:40
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-03-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-03-13 00:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.21%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.79%2.1%2026-03-13 00:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%2.5%2026-03-13 00:24