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South Carolina Upstate Spartans v Gardner-Webb Bulldogs
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
South Carolina Upstate Spartans (Local)
Prediction 83.09%1.20fair odd
EV -2.79%
Edge -2.38%
Kelly -16.41%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.72%82.94%83.08%84.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.141.141.1789.29%87.66%87.72%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Visit)
Prediction 16.91%5.91fair odd
EV +4.86%
Edge +0.785%
Kelly +0.935%
Growth +0.045%
assuming max odds 6.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.30%17.06%16.92%20.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.555.606.2021.74%18.02%17.86%16.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Carolina Upstate Spartans (Local): 83.09%; Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Visit): 16.91%. For Gardner-Webb Bulldogs (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.91. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -6.94%E -6.20%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +4.86%E +0.785%K +0.935%G +0.045% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.17%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.83%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.329%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.48%E +0.247%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.48%E +0.247%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 00:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.58%E -0.448%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.58%E -0.448%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.58%E -0.448%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:24 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.59%E -0.630%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.62%E -3.12%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -6.13%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.62%E -3.12%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.62%E -3.12%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.94%E -6.20%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.94%E -6.20%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.67%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.67%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -10.36%E -1.95%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -11.20%E -2.13%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.79%E -2.38%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.43%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.43%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.43%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.94%E -6.20%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -15.43%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -2.79%E -2.38%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -22.20%E -4.83%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-05 00:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 2.2% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Novig◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |