La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.17
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.20
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -6.94%E -6.20%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV +4.86%E +0.785%K +0.935%G +0.045% | 5.4% | 2026-03-04 23:50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.17%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 6.01I 16.64%NM 15.83%EV +1.65%E +0.275%K +0.329%G +0.005% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:15 |
| Bovada | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.48%E +0.247%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-03-04 19:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +1.48%E +0.247%K +0.296%G +0.004% | 5.2% | 2026-03-05 00:09 |
| GTbets | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.58%E -0.448%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.58%E -0.448%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -2.58%E -0.448%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| Bet Right | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| Betway | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-04 23:05 |
| Fanatics | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| theScore Bet | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -2.75%E -0.478%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-05 00:24 |
| Everygame | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV -3.59%E -0.630%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Caesars | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-04 22:58 |
| LeoVegas | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| Unibet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| Bally Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| betPARX | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -5.28%E -0.944%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| DraftKings | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -3.62%E -3.12%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV -6.13%E -1.10%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-04 23:30 |
| BetMGM | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.62%E -3.12%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -3.62%E -3.12%K -22.62%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-05 00:15 |
| TABtouch | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 17:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-04 23:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.96%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.04%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-04 17:45 |
| Betsson | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.94%E -6.20%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| NordicBet | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -6.94%E -6.20%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.98%E -1.27%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-04 22:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.67%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Neds | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.45%E -3.87%K -29.67%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -8.67%E -1.60%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |
| Fliff | 1.13I 88.50%NM 82.43%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.57%EV -10.36%E -1.95%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| PlayUp | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.28%E -4.63%K -37.72%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -11.20%E -2.13%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
| TAB | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.79%E -2.38%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -15.43%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.43%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| Coral | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.57%EV -6.11%E -5.41%K -47.02%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -15.43%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-04 22:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -6.94%E -6.20%K -57.86%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -15.43%E -3.09%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-05 00:24 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.72%EV -2.79%E -2.38%K -16.41%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.28%EV -22.20%E -4.83%K -6.17%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-04 23:00 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly | 1.16I 86.21%NM 86.12% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.88% | 0.1% | 2026-03-05 00:24 |
| Polymarket | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81% | 1.2% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Kalshi | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 2.2% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23% | 2.6% | 2026-03-05 00:25 |
| Novig | 1.15I 86.96%NM 84.46% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.54% | 3.0% | 2026-03-05 00:05 |