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SMU Mustangs v Boston College Eagles
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
SMU Mustangs (Local)
Prediction 90.25%1.11fair odd
EV -3.43%
Edge -3.20%
Kelly -48.97%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.30%90.04%90.42%90.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0797.09%94.67%94.34%93.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Boston College Eagles (Visit)
Prediction 9.75%10.26fair odd
EV +2.33%
Edge +0.222%
Kelly +0.246%
Growth +0.006%
assuming max odds 10.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.01%9.96%9.58%11.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.009.319.3010.5012.50%10.74%10.75%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: SMU Mustangs (Local): 90.25%; Boston College Eagles (Visit): 9.75%. For Boston College Eagles (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 10.26. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.33%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +2.33%E +0.222%K +0.246%G +0.006% | 4.8% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +2.33%E +0.222%K +0.246%G +0.006% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +2.33%E +0.222%K +0.246%G +0.006% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +0.188%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 20:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV -0.591%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 15:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.04%E -6.83%K -234.61%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-02-21 20:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.43%E -3.20%K -48.97%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -5.07%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.43%E -3.20%K -48.97%G +0.000% | 9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -5.07%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.43%E -3.20%K -48.97%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 19:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 19:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.99%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000% | 9.35I 10.70%NM 10.01%EV -8.88%E -0.949%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 20:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -9.85%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -9.85%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 15:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -9.85%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.43%E -3.20%K -48.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 19:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 19:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-02-21 19:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 16:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-21 19:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.03%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.03%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.03%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-02-21 14:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95% | 0.6% | 2026-02-21 03:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93% | 0.7% | 2026-02-21 17:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14% | 11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86% | 1.6% | 2026-02-21 20:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 90.75% | 10.60I 9.43%NM 9.25% | 2.0% | 2026-02-21 20:55 |