A Escola das Odds

SMU Mustangs v Boston College Eagles

Início: 2026-02-21 21:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

SMU Mustangs (Local)

Previsão 90.25%1.11odd justa
EV -3.43%
Vantagem -3.20%
Kelly -48.97%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.07

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
88.30%90.04%90.42%90.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.031.061.061.0797.09%94.67%94.34%93.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Boston College Eagles (Visitante)

Previsão 9.75%10.26odd justa
EV +2.33%
Vantagem +0.222%
Kelly +0.246%
Crescimento +0.006%

pressupondo odds máximas de 10.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
9.01%9.96%9.58%11.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
8.009.319.3010.5012.50%10.74%10.75%9.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetMGM1.05I 95.24%NM 90.91%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.09%EV +2.33%E +0.222%K +0.246%G +0.006%4.8%2026-02-21 19:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +2.33%E +0.222%K +0.246%G +0.006%5.7%2026-02-21 19:15
Neds1.04I 96.15%NM 90.99%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 9.01%EV +2.33%E +0.222%K +0.246%G +0.006%5.7%2026-02-21 19:15
Pinnacle1.06I 94.34%NM 90.65%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%10.28I 9.73%NM 9.35%EV +0.188%E +0.018%K +0.020%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 20:30
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.59%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%10.20I 9.80%NM 9.41%EV -0.591%E -0.058%K -0.064%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-21 15:50
theScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:05
DraftKings1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:10
Caesars1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:05
PointsBet (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 90.42%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.58%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-21 19:15
Coral1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-21 19:15
Marathon Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -7.04%E -6.83%K -234.61%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -2.54%E -0.254%K -0.282%G +0.000%7.1%2026-02-21 20:10
LowVig.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.43%E -3.20%K -48.97%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -5.07%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:05
BetOnline.ag1.07I 93.46%NM 90.10%EV -3.43%E -3.20%K -48.97%G +0.000%9.74I 10.27%NM 9.90%EV -5.07%E -0.521%K -0.581%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-21 19:05
BetUS1.07I 93.46%NM 89.88%EV -3.43%E -3.20%K -48.97%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.12%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-21 19:10
Hard Rock Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 15:40
Betway1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:15
Bovada1.06I 94.34%NM 89.96%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 10.04%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 19:04
PlayUp1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -7.41%E -0.780%K -0.872%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 19:05
Fliff1.04I 96.15%NM 89.99%EV -6.14%E -5.90%K -153.39%G +0.000%9.35I 10.70%NM 10.01%EV -8.88%E -0.949%K -1.06%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 20:20
888sport1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -9.85%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Mr Green (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -9.85%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 15:55
888sport (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.72%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.25I 10.81%NM 10.28%EV -9.85%E -1.06%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:50
Virgin Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:10
LeoVegas1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:10
LiveScore Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:10
betPARX1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:10
Svenska Spel1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:10
Bally Bet1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:10
ATG (SE)1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -12.29%E -1.37%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-21 19:10
TAB1.07I 93.46%NM 88.82%EV -3.43%E -3.20%K -48.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.18%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 19:30
BetRivers1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:10
TABtouch1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:05
Unibet (NL)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:10
Unibet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-02-21 19:10
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 16:50
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -17.16%E -2.02%K -2.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-02-21 19:14
1xBet1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -4.33%E -4.09%K -72.18%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -22.03%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-21 18:45
Betsson1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.03%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:50
NordicBet1.05I 95.24%NM 88.40%EV -5.23%E -4.98%K -104.66%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -22.03%E -2.75%K -3.15%G +0.000%7.7%2026-02-21 14:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Kalshi1.08I 92.59%NM 92.05%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.95%0.6%2026-02-21 03:00
Polymarket1.09I 91.74%NM 91.07%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.93%0.7%2026-02-21 17:35
Novig1.08I 92.59%NM 91.14%11.11I 9.00%NM 8.86%1.6%2026-02-21 20:35
ProphetX1.08I 92.59%NM 90.75%10.60I 9.43%NM 9.25%2.0%2026-02-21 20:55