Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.25
assuming max odds 4.60
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Purdue Boilermakers (Local): 78.13%; Texas Longhorns (Visit): 21.87%. For Texas Longhorns (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.599%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%EV -3.12%E -2.51%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%EV +0.599%E +0.130%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 2.4% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.599%E +0.130%K +0.166%G +0.001% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 23:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.162%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.162%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.494%E -0.109%K -0.139%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.30%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 4.51I 22.17%NM 21.70%EV -1.37%E -0.304%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-03-26 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.59%E -0.353%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.59%E -0.353%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.59%E -0.353%K -0.454%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 21:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.68%E -0.602%K -0.777%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 23:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 22:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-26 21:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.51%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-03-26 22:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-26 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -6.62%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.12%E -2.51%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-26 23:03 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 21:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-26 21:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.12%E -2.51%K -12.99%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.34%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-26 23:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.34%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.34%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 22:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.34%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-26 22:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-26 20:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -13.83%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-26 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -17.99%E -4.80%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-26 23:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 80.06% | 5.02I 19.92%NM 19.94% | -0.1% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 23:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 0.6% | 2026-03-26 23:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-03-26 22:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 0.8% | 2026-03-26 23:10 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20% | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80% | 1.0% | 2026-03-26 23:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.13% | 4.74I 21.10%NM 20.87% | 1.1% | 2026-03-26 23:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01% | 1.3% | 2026-03-26 23:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74% | 2.6% | 2026-03-26 23:04 |