La escuela de los momios

Purdue Boilermakers v Texas Longhorns

Inicio: 2026-03-26 23:10 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Purdue Boilermakers (Local)

Predicción 78.13%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -9.35%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
75.00%77.92%78.29%79.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.201.221.221.2583.33%81.92%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Texas Longhorns (Visitante)

Predicción 21.87%4.57momio equitativo
EV +0.599%
Ventaja +0.130%
Kelly +0.166%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.83%22.08%21.71%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.304.304.6026.67%23.26%23.26%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
theScore Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 78.77%EV -3.12%E -2.51%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.23%EV +0.599%E +0.130%K +0.166%G +0.001%2.4%2026-03-26 23:09
Caesars1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +0.599%E +0.130%K +0.166%G +0.001%4.4%2026-03-26 23:10
BetOnline.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.162%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 23:10
LowVig.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.97%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.58I 21.83%NM 21.03%EV +0.162%E +0.035%K +0.045%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-26 23:09
BetUS1.22I 81.97%NM 78.86%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.14%EV -0.494%E -0.109%K -0.139%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 23:09
Pinnacle1.25I 80.00%NM 78.30%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%4.51I 22.17%NM 21.70%EV -1.37%E -0.304%K -0.390%G +0.000%2.2%2026-03-26 23:00
DraftKings1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.59%E -0.353%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:09
PointsBet (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.59%E -0.353%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 22:55
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.59%E -0.353%K -0.454%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 21:59
GTbets1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -2.68%E -0.602%K -0.777%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-26 23:09
ReBet1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-26 22:54
FanDuel1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 22:50
Bovada1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 23:08
Neds1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 22:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.858%K -1.11%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-26 21:59
MyBookie.ag1.22I 81.97%NM 78.18%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.37I 22.88%NM 21.82%EV -4.43%E -1.01%K -1.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-26 23:09
Fanatics1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -3.12%E -2.51%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-26 22:45
LeoVegas1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Virgin Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
LiveScore Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
Bally Bet1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
betPARX1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:09
ATG (SE)1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.95%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-26 23:05
Coolbet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-26 23:00
1xBet1.21I 82.64%NM 77.92%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.27I 23.42%NM 22.08%EV -6.62%E -1.55%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Hard Rock Bet1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.12%E -2.51%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-26 23:03
TABtouch1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 23:05
BetRivers1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 23:04
Unibet (NL)1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 23:04
Unibet1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-26 23:04
SportsBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.06%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-26 22:54
PlayUp1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-26 23:05
LeoVegas (SE)1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 23:09
Svenska Spel1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-26 23:09
Fliff1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 22:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 21:59
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-26 21:59
TAB1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -3.12%E -2.51%K -12.99%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -10.34%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-26 23:00
NordicBet1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.34%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 22:54
Betsson1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.34%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 22:55
BoyleSports1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -10.34%E -2.52%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-26 22:54
William Hill1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-26 20:59
Marathon Bet1.22I 81.97%NM 76.36%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.94I 25.38%NM 23.64%EV -13.83%E -3.51%K -4.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-26 22:50
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -17.99%E -4.80%K -6.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-26 23:10
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (9)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.25I 80.00%NM 80.06%5.02I 19.92%NM 19.94%-0.1%2026-03-26 23:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-26 23:09
ProphetX1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14%0.6%2026-03-26 23:10
Kalshi1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%0.7%2026-03-26 22:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%0.8%2026-03-26 23:10
Polymarket1.25I 80.00%NM 79.20%4.76I 21.01%NM 20.80%1.0%2026-03-26 23:05
Novig1.25I 80.00%NM 79.13%4.74I 21.10%NM 20.87%1.1%2026-03-26 23:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.3%2026-03-26 23:00
Smarkets1.23I 81.30%NM 79.26%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.74%2.6%2026-03-26 23:04