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Providence Friars v Xavier Musketeers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Providence Friars (Local)
Prediction 71.63%1.40fair odd
EV +3.87%
Edge +2.67%
Kelly +8.59%
Growth +0.332%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.17%72.42%68.76%81.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.281.231.4588.50%78.39%81.63%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Xavier Musketeers (Visit)
Prediction 28.37%3.53fair odd
EV +47.51%
Edge +9.14%
Kelly +11.31%
Growth +5.37%
assuming max odds 5.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.24%27.58%31.24%34.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.623.914.005.2038.17%25.57%25.00%19.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Providence Friars (Local): 71.63%; Xavier Musketeers (Visit): 28.37%. For Xavier Musketeers (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.53. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +47.51%.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37% | 5.4% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38% | 6.2% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -18.34%E -16.09%K -130.99%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +39.00%E +7.96%K +10.00%G +3.90% | 8.1% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -19.06%E -16.86%K -146.58%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +39.00%E +7.96%K +10.00%G +3.90% | 8.9% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -15.47%E -13.11%K -85.97%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +34.75%E +7.32%K +9.27%G +3.22% | 5.8% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +30.49%E +6.63%K +8.47%G +2.58% | 7.9% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -14.76%E -12.40%K -77.67%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +27.65%E +6.15%K +7.90%G +2.19% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -15.47%E -13.11%K -85.97%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +27.65%E +6.15%K +7.90%G +2.19% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:38 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -12.61%E -10.33%K -57.31%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +17.73%E +4.27%K +5.63%G +0.998% | 6.1% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -12.61%E -10.33%K -57.31%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +16.31%E +3.98%K +5.26%G +0.858% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -11.18%E -9.01%K -46.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +13.47%E +3.37%K +4.49%G +0.605% | 5.6% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -11.89%E -9.67%K -51.71%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +13.47%E +3.37%K +4.49%G +0.605% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 00:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -14.04%E -11.70%K -70.21%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV +10.63%E +2.73%K +3.67%G +0.390% | 9.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV +1.00%E +0.710%K +2.44%G +0.024% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV +1.00%E +0.710%K +2.44%G +0.024% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -14.05%E -4.64%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV +1.00%E +0.710%K +2.44%G +0.024% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -14.05%E -4.64%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 00:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-25 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-26 00:32 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 00:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.33%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-25 00:34 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV +2.43%E +1.70%K +5.66%G +0.138% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -16.32%E -5.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -16.32%E -5.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -16.32%E -5.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -16.32%E -5.53%K -8.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 23:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -19.15%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -19.15%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +3.87%E +2.67%K +8.59%G +0.332% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -21.99%E -8.00%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-26 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -21.99%E -8.00%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-26 00:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV +1.00%E +0.710%K +2.44%G +0.024% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -21.99%E -8.00%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -21.99%E -8.00%K -12.56%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -23.12%E -8.53%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -25.68%E -9.80%K -15.85%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-26 00:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.47% | 3.07I 32.57%NM 32.53% | 0.1% | 2026-02-26 00:29 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 2.0% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04% | 5.1% | 2026-02-26 00:32 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38% | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 00:40 |