L’École des cotes

Providence Friars v Xavier Musketeers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-26 03:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Providence Friars (Local)

Prévision 71.63%1.40cote équitable
EV +3.87%
Avantage +2.67%
Kelly +8.59%
Croissance +0.332%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.17%72.42%68.76%81.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.131.281.231.4588.50%78.39%81.63%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Xavier Musketeers (Visiteur)

Prévision 28.37%3.53cote équitable
EV +47.51%
Avantage +9.14%
Kelly +11.31%
Croissance +5.37%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.24%27.58%31.24%34.83%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.623.914.005.2038.17%25.57%25.00%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Unibet (NL)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37%5.4%2026-02-26 00:40
Unibet1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37%5.4%2026-02-26 00:39
betPARX1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37%5.4%2026-02-26 00:40
ATG (SE)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37%5.4%2026-02-26 00:40
Svenska Spel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.76%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.24%EV +47.51%E +9.14%K +11.31%G +5.37%5.4%2026-02-26 00:39
Fanatics1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38%6.2%2026-02-26 00:40
FanDuel1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38%6.2%2026-02-26 00:40
Virgin Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38%7.0%2026-02-26 00:40
LeoVegas1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38%7.0%2026-02-26 00:40
TABtouch1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38%7.0%2026-02-26 00:40
LiveScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38%7.0%2026-02-26 00:40
Bally Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -17.62%E -15.32%K -117.49%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV +41.84%E +8.37%K +10.46%G +4.38%7.0%2026-02-26 00:40
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -18.34%E -16.09%K -130.99%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV +39.00%E +7.96%K +10.00%G +3.90%8.1%2026-02-26 00:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.13I 88.50%NM 81.26%EV -19.06%E -16.86%K -146.58%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.74%EV +39.00%E +7.96%K +10.00%G +3.90%8.9%2026-02-26 00:40
Hard Rock Bet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -15.47%E -13.11%K -85.97%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +34.75%E +7.32%K +9.27%G +3.22%5.8%2026-02-26 00:39
TAB1.16I 86.21%NM 79.86%EV -16.91%E -14.57%K -105.67%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.14%EV +30.49%E +6.63%K +8.47%G +2.58%7.9%2026-02-26 00:40
DraftKings1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -14.76%E -12.40%K -77.67%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV +27.65%E +6.15%K +7.90%G +2.19%6.3%2026-02-26 00:39
Bovada1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -15.47%E -13.11%K -85.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +27.65%E +6.15%K +7.90%G +2.19%7.0%2026-02-26 00:38
Fliff1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -12.61%E -10.33%K -57.31%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV +17.73%E +4.27%K +5.63%G +0.998%6.1%2026-02-26 00:39
BetMGM1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -12.61%E -10.33%K -57.31%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV +16.31%E +3.98%K +5.26%G +0.858%6.4%2026-02-26 00:40
PointsBet (AU)1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -11.18%E -9.01%K -46.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV +13.47%E +3.37%K +4.49%G +0.605%5.6%2026-02-26 00:40
GTbets1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -11.89%E -9.67%K -51.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV +13.47%E +3.37%K +4.49%G +0.605%6.3%2026-02-26 00:39
Coral1.20I 83.33%NM 76.47%EV -14.04%E -11.70%K -70.21%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV +10.63%E +2.73%K +3.67%G +0.390%9.0%2026-02-26 00:40
BetUS1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV +1.00%E +0.710%K +2.44%G +0.024%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -13.48%E -4.42%K -6.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-26 00:29
LowVig.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV +1.00%E +0.710%K +2.44%G +0.024%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -14.05%E -4.64%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 00:29
BetOnline.ag1.41I 70.92%NM 68.24%EV +1.00%E +0.710%K +2.44%G +0.024%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.76%EV -14.05%E -4.64%K -6.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-26 00:30
theScore Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-25 23:29
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 69.12%EV -4.01%E -2.99%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.88%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-26 00:32
Betsson1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 00:33
NordicBet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -4.73%E -3.56%K -14.33%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -14.90%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-25 00:34
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV +2.43%E +1.70%K +5.66%G +0.138%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -16.32%E -5.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-26 00:29
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -16.32%E -5.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 23:30
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -16.32%E -5.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 23:30
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -16.32%E -5.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-25 23:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -19.15%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 00:29
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -19.15%E -6.72%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-26 00:29
Caesars1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV +3.87%E +2.67%K +8.59%G +0.332%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -21.99%E -8.00%K -12.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-26 00:35
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -21.99%E -8.00%K -12.56%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-26 00:30
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV +1.00%E +0.710%K +2.44%G +0.024%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -21.99%E -8.00%K -12.56%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 00:29
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -21.99%E -8.00%K -12.56%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-26 00:19
Marathon Bet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.62%EV +1.72%E +1.21%K +4.09%G +0.070%2.71I 36.90%NM 34.38%EV -23.12%E -8.53%K -13.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-26 00:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV +0.285%E +0.204%K +0.713%G +0.002%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -25.68%E -9.80%K -15.85%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-26 00:05
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly1.48I 67.57%NM 67.47%3.07I 32.57%NM 32.53%0.1%2026-02-26 00:29
Kalshi1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%2.0%2026-02-26 00:40
Novig1.40I 71.43%NM 67.96%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.04%5.1%2026-02-26 00:32
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%6.3%2026-02-26 00:40