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Oregon Ducks v Wisconsin Badgers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Oregon Ducks (Local)
Prediction 31.39%3.19fair odd
EV +0.459%
Edge +0.143%
Kelly +0.208%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.98%31.36%31.25%33.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.22%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Wisconsin Badgers (Visit)
Prediction 68.61%1.46fair odd
EV -3.26%
Edge -2.32%
Kelly -7.96%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.41
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.11%68.64%68.75%70.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.361.381.381.4173.53%72.41%72.46%70.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Oregon Ducks (Local): 31.39%; Wisconsin Badgers (Visit): 68.61%. For Oregon Ducks (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.19. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.459%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.459%E +0.143%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 03:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.459%E +0.143%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 03:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -0.169%E -0.053%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.37%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.64%E -3.34%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.37%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.64%E -3.34%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 03:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 03:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 03:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -5.19%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 02:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -7.70%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.59%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.53%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 03:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -3.26%E -2.32%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 11:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.93% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.07% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 03:51 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 03:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 03:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09% | 1.9% | 2026-02-26 03:55 |