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Oregon Ducks v Wisconsin Badgers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Oregon Ducks (Local)
Predicción 31.39%3.19momio equitativo
EV +0.459%
Ventaja +0.143%
Kelly +0.208%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.98%31.36%31.25%33.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.753.013.003.2036.36%33.22%33.33%31.25%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Wisconsin Badgers (Visitante)
Predicción 68.61%1.46momio equitativo
EV -3.26%
Ventaja -2.32%
Kelly -7.96%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.41
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.11%68.64%68.75%70.02%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.361.381.381.4173.53%72.41%72.46%70.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Oregon Ducks (Local): 31.39%; Wisconsin Badgers (Visitante): 68.61%. Para Oregon Ducks (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.19. 2 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.20, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.459%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (41 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.459%E +0.143%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 03:49 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV +0.459%E +0.143%K +0.208%G +0.001% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-26 03:38 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -0.169%E -0.053%K -0.078%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.37%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.64%E -3.34%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 22:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.37%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.64%E -3.34%K -11.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 23:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -2.68%E -0.865%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-25 22:48 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.08I 32.47%NM 31.25%EV -3.31%E -1.07%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.75%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 03:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 03:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.25%E -1.39%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-26 03:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.67%EV -5.19%E -1.72%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.33%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-25 23:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 02:44 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -5.82%E -1.94%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 02:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 22:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-25 22:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -7.39%E -2.50%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-26 03:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -7.70%E -2.62%K -3.97%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-02-26 00:19 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-26 03:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 00:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -8.96%E -3.09%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.92%EV -6.01%E -4.39%K -16.24%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-26 00:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.39%EV -9.59%E -3.33%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.61%EV -5.32%E -3.86%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-25 22:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -10.53%E -3.69%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV -3.95%E -2.82%K -9.88%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-26 03:05 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.69%EV -12.10%E -4.32%K -6.72%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.31%EV -6.69%E -4.92%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-25 22:49 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -13.67%E -4.97%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -3.26%E -2.32%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-25 11:55 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13% | 0.4% | 2026-02-26 03:30 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.93% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 71.07% | 0.5% | 2026-02-26 03:51 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 03:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-02-26 03:50 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 29.91% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.09% | 1.9% | 2026-02-26 03:55 |