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Old Dominion Monarchs v UL Monroe Warhawks
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)
Prediction 81.82%1.22fair odd
EV -2.64%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -13.90%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.19
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.45%81.65%81.85%83.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.121.171.171.1989.29%85.52%85.47%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit)
Prediction 18.18%5.50fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +0.641%
Kelly +0.777%
Growth +0.028%
assuming max odds 5.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.79%18.35%18.15%20.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.605.035.005.7021.74%19.89%20.00%17.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Old Dominion Monarchs (Local): 81.82%; UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit): 18.18%. For UL Monroe Warhawks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.50. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.42%G +0.000% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +3.65%E +0.641%K +0.777%G +0.028% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 01:15 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.926%E +0.167%K +0.204%G +0.002% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 19:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +0.017%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-03 19:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.80%E -0.334%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.80%E -0.334%K -0.409%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 82.08%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.36I 18.66%NM 17.92%EV -2.53%E -0.472%K -0.580%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-03 23:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -3.44%E -0.647%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -3.44%E -0.647%K -0.798%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 23:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.62%E -0.683%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-04 00:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.62%E -0.683%K -0.842%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-03 19:21 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.42%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-04 01:15 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.44%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-03 21:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-03 23:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-04 01:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.08%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 21:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.37%E -7.47%K -69.73%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-03 13:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-04 01:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -11.80%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.71%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -13.62%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -14.53%E -3.09%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -14.53%E -3.09%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-03 23:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-04 01:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-04 01:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 00:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.42%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-03-04 00:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 83.49% | 6.07I 16.47%NM 16.51% | -0.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88% | 0.7% | 2026-03-03 18:05 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29% | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71% | 1.8% | 2026-03-04 01:05 |
| Novig◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27% | 5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73% | 2.1% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79% | 2.2% | 2026-03-04 00:25 |