La escuela de los momios

Old Dominion Monarchs v UL Monroe Warhawks

Inicio: 2026-03-04 01:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Old Dominion Monarchs (Local)

Predicción 81.82%1.22momio equitativo
EV -2.64%
Ventaja -2.22%
Kelly -13.90%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.19

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
79.45%81.65%81.85%83.21%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.171.171.1989.29%85.52%85.47%84.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

UL Monroe Warhawks (Visitante)

Predicción 18.18%5.50momio equitativo
EV +3.65%
Ventaja +0.641%
Kelly +0.777%
Crecimiento +0.028%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.79%18.35%18.15%20.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.605.035.005.7021.74%19.89%20.00%17.54%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
FanDuel1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.42%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +3.65%E +0.641%K +0.777%G +0.028%4.5%2026-03-04 01:15
Everygame1.16I 86.21%NM 82.71%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.29%EV +0.926%E +0.167%K +0.204%G +0.002%4.2%2026-03-03 19:54
PointsBet (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 82.58%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.42%EV +0.017%E +0.003%K +0.004%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-03 19:20
BetUS1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.80%E -0.334%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 23:34
DraftKings1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -1.80%E -0.334%K -0.409%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-03 23:35
Pinnacle1.17I 85.47%NM 82.08%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.36I 18.66%NM 17.92%EV -2.53%E -0.472%K -0.580%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-03 23:50
BetOnline.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -3.44%E -0.647%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:35
LowVig.ag1.17I 85.47%NM 81.94%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.31I 18.83%NM 18.06%EV -3.44%E -0.647%K -0.798%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 23:34
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.62%E -0.683%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-04 00:15
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -3.62%E -0.683%K -0.842%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-03 19:21
Betway1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-04 01:25
Bovada1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-03 23:35
Bet Right1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:40
Betr (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-04 00:40
theScore Bet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.42%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -4.53%E -0.863%K -1.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-04 01:15
SportsBet1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.08%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -5.44%E -1.05%K -1.29%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-03 21:50
888sport1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:55
Mr Green (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:55
888sport (SE)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-03 23:55
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.08%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV -7.26%E -1.42%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-04 01:10
Hard Rock Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-04 01:25
BetMGM1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.21%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-04 00:35
Neds1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 00:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.28%E -3.66%K -25.16%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-04 00:35
1xBet1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.73%E -5.90%K -48.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 21:55
BoyleSports1.12I 89.29%NM 81.70%EV -8.37%E -7.47%K -69.73%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.30%EV -9.08%E -1.82%K -2.27%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-03 13:45
LeoVegas1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:24
Virgin Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:20
LiveScore Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:24
betPARX1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:20
Svenska Spel1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:20
ATG (SE)1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:24
Bally Bet1.19I 84.03%NM 80.46%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.54%EV -10.89%E -2.22%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-04 01:20
Fliff1.16I 86.21%NM 80.70%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.30%EV -11.80%E -2.43%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-04 00:35
TAB1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -12.71%E -2.65%K -3.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-04 00:35
PlayUp1.16I 86.21%NM 80.37%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -13.62%E -2.87%K -3.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-03 23:35
Betsson1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -14.53%E -3.09%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 23:35
NordicBet1.16I 86.21%NM 80.20%EV -5.09%E -4.39%K -31.84%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.80%EV -14.53%E -3.09%K -3.93%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-03 23:35
BetRivers1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 01:25
TABtouch1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 01:25
Unibet1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 01:20
Unibet (NL)1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -2.64%E -2.22%K -13.90%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-04 01:24
LeoVegas (SE)1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.46%E -2.93%K -19.21%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-04 01:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 00:35
Coral1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -5.91%E -5.14%K -39.42%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -16.35%E -3.55%K -4.54%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-04 00:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.20I 83.33%NM 83.49%6.07I 16.47%NM 16.51%-0.2%2026-03-04 01:25
Polymarket1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-03-03 18:05
Kalshi1.18I 84.75%NM 83.29%5.88I 17.01%NM 16.71%1.8%2026-03-04 01:05
Novig1.19I 84.03%NM 82.27%5.52I 18.12%NM 17.73%2.1%2026-03-04 01:25
ProphetX1.20I 83.33%NM 81.54%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.46%2.2%2026-03-04 01:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79%2.2%2026-03-04 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79%2.2%2026-03-04 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.19I 84.03%NM 82.21%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.79%2.2%2026-03-04 00:25