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Ohio State Buckeyes v Purdue Boilermakers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)
Prediction 29.21%3.42fair odd
EV +2.24%
Edge +0.639%
Kelly +0.895%
Growth +0.020%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.25%29.29%29.18%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.203.203.5033.90%31.21%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Purdue Boilermakers (Visit)
Prediction 70.79%1.41fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -6.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.45%70.71%70.82%72.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.351.341.3876.92%74.14%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ohio State Buckeyes (Local): 29.21%; Purdue Boilermakers (Visit): 70.79%. For Ohio State Buckeyes (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.42. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.895%G +0.020% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV +1.36%E +0.392%K +0.551%G +0.008% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.777%E +0.225%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.777%E +0.225%K +0.317%G +0.002% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -0.391%E -0.115%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 18:15 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -0.391%E -0.115%K -0.162%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 18:13 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.683%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.683%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.683%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-01 18:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.14%E -0.640%K -0.912%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-01 18:18 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.02%E -0.910%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 15:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 17:09 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-01 18:15 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-01 18:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-01 18:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -4.77%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-01 18:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 18:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 18:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 18:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-01 17:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.16%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 17:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 16:14 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-01 15:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-01 15:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 17:04 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-01 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-01 18:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 28.02% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.98% | -0.0% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-03-01 18:10 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84% | 1.7% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |
| Novig◎ | 3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52% | 2.1% | 2026-03-01 18:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73% | 2.5% | 2026-03-01 18:25 |