La escuela de los momios

Ohio State Buckeyes v Purdue Boilermakers

Inicio: 2026-03-01 18:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ohio State Buckeyes (Local)

Predicción 29.21%3.42momio equitativo
EV +2.24%
Ventaja +0.639%
Kelly +0.895%
Crecimiento +0.020%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.25%29.29%29.18%31.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.203.203.5033.90%31.21%31.25%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Purdue Boilermakers (Visitante)

Predicción 70.79%1.41momio equitativo
EV -2.31%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -6.08%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.45%70.71%70.82%72.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.301.351.341.3876.92%74.14%74.63%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%EV +2.24%E +0.639%K +0.895%G +0.020%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-01 18:14
1xBet3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV +1.36%E +0.392%K +0.551%G +0.008%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.58%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-01 18:14
BetUS3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.777%E +0.225%K +0.317%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 18:14
Everygame3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +0.777%E +0.225%K +0.317%G +0.002%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-01 18:14
BetOnline.ag3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -0.391%E -0.115%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 18:15
LowVig.ag3.41I 29.33%NM 28.21%EV -0.391%E -0.115%K -0.162%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.79%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 18:13
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.683%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-03-01 18:14
GTbets3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.683%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:14
Caesars3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.683%E -0.201%K -0.285%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-01 18:19
DraftKings3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%EV -2.14%E -0.640%K -0.912%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-01 18:18
SportsBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -3.02%E -0.910%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -7.97%E -6.13%K -26.58%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-01 18:14
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 15:34
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 17:09
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-01 18:15
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-01 18:19
Hard Rock Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -3.60%E -1.09%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-01 18:04
Pinnacle3.26I 30.67%NM 29.59%EV -4.77%E -1.46%K -2.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.41%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.16%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-01 18:25
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.14%E -3.84%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-01 18:19
888sport3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:20
Mr Green (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:20
888sport (SE)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:19
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -5.06%E -1.56%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-01 18:14
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -6.53%E -2.04%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-01 17:04
TAB3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.02%E -2.20%K -8.16%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-01 18:14
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 17:04
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 17:04
Fliff3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -7.99%E -2.54%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -6.56%E -4.97%K -20.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-01 18:14
Betsson3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:14
BoyleSports3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:14
NordicBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -9.45%E -3.05%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 16:14
Virgin Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:50
Unibet (NL)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:50
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:49
Unibet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:50
LiveScore Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:49
LeoVegas3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:50
Svenska Spel3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:49
ATG (SE)3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:49
betPARX3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:50
Bally Bet3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -2.31%E -1.67%K -6.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-01 15:50
TABtouch3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -10.91%E -3.58%K -5.32%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-01 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-01 15:49
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 17:04
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -12.37%E -4.12%K -6.18%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -5.85%E -4.40%K -17.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-01 17:04
Marathon Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -13.83%E -4.69%K -7.09%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -3.73%E -2.74%K -10.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-01 18:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 28.02%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.98%-0.0%2026-03-01 18:24
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-03-01 18:10
ProphetX3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-03-01 18:25
BetOpenly3.62I 27.62%NM 27.16%1.35I 74.07%NM 72.84%1.7%2026-03-01 18:25
Novig3.44I 29.07%NM 28.48%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.52%2.1%2026-03-01 18:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-03-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-03-01 18:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%2.5%2026-03-01 18:25