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Notre Dame Fighting Irish v NC State Wolfpack
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)
Prediction 28.70%3.48fair odd
EV +1.03%
Edge +0.292%
Kelly +0.407%
Growth +0.004%
assuming max odds 3.52
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.23%28.79%28.27%31.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.233.203.5233.90%31.01%31.25%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
NC State Wolfpack (Visit)
Prediction 71.30%1.40fair odd
EV -1.61%
Edge -1.16%
Kelly -4.23%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.13%71.21%71.73%72.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.65%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local): 28.70%; NC State Wolfpack (Visit): 71.30%. For Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.03%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV +1.03%E +0.292%K +0.407%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 16:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV +1.03%E +0.292%K +0.407%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.453%E +0.129%K +0.181%G +0.001% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 16:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.982%E -0.285%K -0.401%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -1.84%E -0.539%K -0.762%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 01:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-02-28 16:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 16:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-28 16:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-28 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -8.73%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-02-28 16:45 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.73%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 16:15 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 16:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -15.33%E -5.20%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -15.33%E -5.20%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -15.33%E -5.20%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98% | 0.0% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| Novig◎ | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.96% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.04% | 1.3% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66% | 3.3% | 2026-02-28 16:55 |