L’École des cotes

Notre Dame Fighting Irish v NC State Wolfpack

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notre Dame Fighting Irish (Local)

Prévision 28.70%3.48cote équitable
EV +1.03%
Avantage +0.292%
Kelly +0.407%
Croissance +0.004%

avec la cote maximale 3.52

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.23%28.79%28.27%31.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.233.203.5233.90%31.01%31.25%28.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

NC State Wolfpack (Visiteur)

Prévision 71.30%1.40cote équitable
EV -1.61%
Avantage -1.16%
Kelly -4.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.13%71.21%71.73%72.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.301.341.331.3876.92%74.65%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LowVig.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV +1.03%E +0.292%K +0.407%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:44
BetOnline.ag3.52I 28.41%NM 27.27%EV +1.03%E +0.292%K +0.407%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:45
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +0.453%E +0.129%K +0.181%G +0.001%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -6.60%E -5.04%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 16:29
DraftKings3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -0.982%E -0.285%K -0.401%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 16:00
BetUS3.42I 29.24%NM 28.15%EV -1.84%E -0.539%K -0.762%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.85%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 16:55
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.0%2026-02-28 16:40
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 16:45
PointsBet (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 01:44
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -2.42%E -0.711%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 16:55
Everygame3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%3.4%2026-02-28 16:44
Bovada3.35I 29.85%NM 28.72%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 71.28%EV -3.75%E -2.77%K -10.70%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 16:49
Bet Right3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%5.0%2026-02-28 16:50
Neds3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 16:55
Ladbrokes (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 16:55
888sport3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 16:50
888sport (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 16:50
Mr Green (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -3.85%E -1.15%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 16:50
Betr (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -5.29%E -1.60%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 16:55
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 16:35
William Hill3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -6.72%E -2.07%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 16:50
1xBet3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -7.30%E -2.26%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -4.46%E -3.33%K -13.11%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-28 16:20
Fanatics3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-28 16:49
SportsBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 16:35
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 16:15
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.17%E -3.89%K -15.67%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 16:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 16:55
Coral3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -8.16%E -2.55%K -3.71%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -7.31%E -5.62%K -24.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-02-28 16:55
Pinnacle3.18I 31.45%NM 30.26%EV -8.73%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.74%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 16:45
Marathon Bet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.33%EV -8.73%E -2.75%K -4.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.67%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 16:15
NordicBet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 16:15
Betsson3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 16:15
Fliff3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -9.59%E -3.05%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -5.88%E -4.46%K -18.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 16:50
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:55
betPARX3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -11.03%E -3.56%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 16:55
LiveScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -2.32%E -1.69%K -6.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-02-28 16:40
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 16:40
BetRivers3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 16:40
LeoVegas3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 16:40
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 16:40
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 16:40
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -13.90%E -4.63%K -6.95%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -3.03%E -2.23%K -8.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 16:40
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -15.33%E -5.20%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Unibet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -15.33%E -5.20%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -15.33%E -5.20%K -7.86%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -1.61%E -1.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 16:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
BetOpenly3.70I 27.03%NM 27.02%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.98%0.0%2026-02-28 16:55
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-02-28 16:55
Kalshi3.57I 28.01%NM 27.73%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.27%1.0%2026-02-28 16:55
Novig3.53I 28.33%NM 27.96%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.04%1.3%2026-02-28 16:55
ProphetX3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%3.3%2026-02-28 16:55