Language:English
Northwestern Wildcats v Penn State Nittany Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northwestern Wildcats (Local)
Prediction 66.06%1.51fair odd
EV -2.89%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -6.15%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.47
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.53%66.28%66.07%68.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.431.4771.43%69.82%69.93%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit)
Prediction 33.94%2.95fair odd
EV +2.84%
Edge +0.937%
Kelly +1.40%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 3.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.91%33.72%33.93%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.792.753.0338.17%35.89%36.36%33.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northwestern Wildcats (Local): 66.06%; Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit): 33.94%. For Penn State Nittany Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.95. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.84%.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetUS🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV +2.84%E +0.937%K +1.40%G +0.040% | 3.4% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.82%E +0.607%K +0.910%G +0.017% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 23:33 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.82%E +0.607%K +0.910%G +0.017% | 3.8% | 2026-03-10 23:32 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.123%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.556%E -0.190%K -0.288%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.57%E -0.543%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.57%E -0.543%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.57%E -0.543%K -0.829%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.27%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.89%E -1.97%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-10 23:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-10 23:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.55%E -2.43%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.55%E -2.43%K -7.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.86%E -4.86%K -16.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -7.68%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -9.04%E -3.37%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.08%E -4.23%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.08%E -4.23%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.08%E -4.23%K -6.84%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82% | -0.1% | 2026-03-10 23:29 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 0.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.0% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37% | 1.2% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72% | 1.7% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80% | 4.9% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.01I 99.01%NM 75.72% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 24.28% | 30.8% | 2026-03-10 23:40 |