La escuela de los momios

Northwestern Wildcats v Penn State Nittany Lions

Inicio: 2026-03-10 23:45 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (12 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Northwestern Wildcats (Local)

Predicción 66.06%1.51momio equitativo
EV -2.89%
Ventaja -1.97%
Kelly -6.15%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
64.53%66.28%66.07%68.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.401.431.431.4771.43%69.82%69.93%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Penn State Nittany Lions (Visitante)

Predicción 33.94%2.95momio equitativo
EV +2.84%
Ventaja +0.937%
Kelly +1.40%
Crecimiento +0.040%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.03

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.91%33.72%33.93%35.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.792.753.0338.17%35.89%36.36%33.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BetUS1.42I 70.42%NM 68.09%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.03I 33.00%NM 31.91%EV +2.84%E +0.937%K +1.40%G +0.040%3.4%2026-03-10 23:29
BetOnline.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.82%E +0.607%K +0.910%G +0.017%3.8%2026-03-10 23:33
LowVig.ag1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV +1.82%E +0.607%K +0.910%G +0.017%3.8%2026-03-10 23:32
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 67.51%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.49%EV +0.123%E +0.042%K +0.063%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Pinnacle1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -0.556%E -0.190%K -0.288%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-10 23:29
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.57%E -0.543%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:29
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.57%E -0.543%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:30
Everygame1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -1.57%E -0.543%K -0.829%G +0.000%4.4%2026-03-10 23:29
PointsBet (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -3.27%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-10 23:29
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 23:29
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -3.27%E -1.15%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-10 23:29
ReBet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.51%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.49%EV -3.61%E -1.27%K -1.96%G +0.000%5.1%2026-03-10 23:29
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -2.89%E -1.97%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.7%2026-03-10 23:40
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:40
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-10 23:39
TAB1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -4.97%E -1.77%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-10 23:39
LiveScore Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.55%E -2.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Virgin Bet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.55%E -2.43%K -7.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-10 23:40
LeoVegas1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
ATG (SE)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Bally Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
betPARX1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.21%E -2.91%K -9.36%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-10 23:40
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:40
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:40
Neds1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:40
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-10 23:40
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-10 23:40
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-10 23:29
1xBet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.11%EV -6.86%E -4.86%K -16.72%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-10 23:29
Betsson1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 23:29
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 23:29
NordicBet1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -6.67%E -2.42%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-10 23:29
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.70%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.30%EV -7.68%E -2.82%K -4.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 23:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Fliff1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -6.19%E -4.36%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -8.36%E -3.10%K -4.92%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-10 23:29
Marathon Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.21%EV -5.53%E -3.87%K -12.87%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.79%EV -9.04%E -3.37%K -5.38%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-10 23:29
William Hill1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -4.87%E -3.38%K -11.08%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -11.08%E -4.23%K -6.84%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-10 23:40
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.08%E -4.23%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 23:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 65.17%EV -7.52%E -5.37%K -18.79%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.83%EV -11.08%E -4.23%K -6.84%G +0.000%9.6%2026-03-10 23:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
BetOpenly1.49I 67.11%NM 67.18%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.82%-0.1%2026-03-10 23:29
Polymarket1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31%3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69%0.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Kalshi1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.0%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.44I 69.44%NM 68.63%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.37%1.2%2026-03-10 23:40
ProphetX1.44I 69.44%NM 68.28%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.72%1.7%2026-03-10 23:40
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%4.9%2026-03-10 23:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 75.72%3.15I 31.75%NM 24.28%30.8%2026-03-10 23:40