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Northwestern St Demons v Incarnate Word Cardinals
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Northwestern St Demons (Local)
Prediction 51.96%1.92fair odd
EV +0.278%
Edge +0.144%
Kelly +0.299%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.93
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.48%51.85%52.11%53.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.821.821.9357.80%54.95%54.95%51.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Incarnate Word Cardinals (Visit)
Prediction 48.04%2.08fair odd
EV -1.03%
Edge -0.501%
Kelly -0.974%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.35%48.15%47.89%50.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.851.972.002.0654.05%50.78%50.00%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northwestern St Demons (Local): 51.96%; Incarnate Word Cardinals (Visit): 48.04%. For Northwestern St Demons (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.92. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.278%.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV +0.278%E +0.144%K +0.299%G +0.001% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -9.20%E -4.87%K -10.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 00:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 00:24 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 00:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 00:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-02-24 00:17 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 00:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.88%E -2.46%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-24 00:14 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-24 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-24 00:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-02-24 00:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.96%E -3.29%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.36%E -2.72%K -5.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -5.96%E -3.29%K -7.35%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-24 00:13 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 00:14 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-24 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 00:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-02-24 00:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.24%E -4.31%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-24 00:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.12%E -6.01%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-24 00:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.12%E -6.01%K -13.08%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-02-24 00:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.52%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.03%E -0.501%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -9.59%E -5.51%K -12.96%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -3.44%E -1.71%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-24 00:14 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.11%E -5.85%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.11%E -5.85%K -13.85%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ProphetX◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99% | 0.7% | 2026-02-24 00:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61% | 1.0% | 2026-02-24 00:09 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52% | 2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48% | 1.0% | 2026-02-24 00:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10% | 1.4% | 2026-02-24 00:25 |
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74% | 4.9% | 2026-02-24 00:25 |