A Escola das Odds

Northwestern St Demons v Incarnate Word Cardinals

Início: 2026-02-24 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Northwestern St Demons (Local)

Previsão 51.96%1.92odd justa
EV +0.278%
Vantagem +0.144%
Kelly +0.299%
Crescimento +0.001%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.93

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.48%51.85%52.11%53.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.821.821.9357.80%54.95%54.95%51.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Incarnate Word Cardinals (Visitante)

Previsão 48.04%2.08odd justa
EV -1.03%
Vantagem -0.501%
Kelly -0.974%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.35%48.15%47.89%50.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.851.972.002.0654.05%50.78%50.00%48.54%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV +0.278%E +0.144%K +0.299%G +0.001%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -9.20%E -4.87%K -10.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:25
BetMGM1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 00:24
GTbets1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 00:20
Fanatics1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 00:14
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000%4.8%2026-02-24 00:17
Neds1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 00:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.66%EV -2.84%E -1.52%K -3.26%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.34%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 00:25
DraftKings1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.88%E -2.46%K -4.98%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 00:14
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.88%E -2.10%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-02-24 00:10
theScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 00:10
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 00:10
Betway1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 00:15
PointsBet (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 00:14
Caesars1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.92%E -2.69%K -5.92%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-24 00:24
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:10
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:09
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:10
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:10
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:09
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:10
Svenska Spel1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:10
Bally Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:09
betPARX1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:09
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -5.44%E -2.99%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-24 00:09
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -5.96%E -3.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -5.36%E -2.72%K -5.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-24 00:10
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -5.96%E -3.29%K -7.35%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-24 00:13
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 00:09
888sport (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 00:09
Mr Green (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.6%2026-02-24 00:10
BoyleSports1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 00:14
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.32%E -3.24%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-24 00:15
NordicBet1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 00:15
Betsson1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV -7.76%E -4.04%K -8.43%G +0.000%7.6%2026-02-24 00:10
Fliff1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.24%E -4.31%K -9.05%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-24 00:15
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.12%E -6.01%K -13.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-24 00:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -6.48%E -3.60%K -8.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -11.12%E -6.01%K -13.08%G +0.000%9.6%2026-02-24 00:25
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -7.52%E -4.22%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -1.03%E -0.501%K -0.974%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-24 00:09
SportsBet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.60%EV -9.59%E -5.51%K -12.96%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.40%EV -3.44%E -1.71%K -3.40%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-24 00:14
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.11%E -5.85%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 00:15
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.11%E -5.85%K -13.85%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.92%E -1.96%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-02-24 00:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX1.91I 52.36%NM 52.01%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.99%0.7%2026-02-24 00:25
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-02-24 00:09
Kalshi1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-02-24 00:20
Novig1.90I 52.63%NM 51.90%2.05I 48.78%NM 48.10%1.4%2026-02-24 00:25
BetOpenly1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%4.9%2026-02-24 00:25