Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Kentucky Norse v Wright St Raiders

Kickoff: 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Northern Kentucky Norse (Local)

Prediction 59.42%1.68fair odd
EV +1.61%
Edge +0.944%
Kelly +2.27%
Growth +0.037%

assuming max odds 1.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%59.29%59.30%60.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.611.611.7164.52%62.09%62.11%58.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Wright St Raiders (Visit)

Prediction 40.58%2.46fair odd
EV -0.587%
Edge -0.240%
Kelly -0.405%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.36%40.71%40.70%43.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.322.332.4545.45%43.07%42.92%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Northern Kentucky Norse (Local): 59.42%; Wright St Raiders (Visit): 40.58%. For Northern Kentucky Norse (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.68. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.71, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV +1.61%E +0.944%K +2.27%G +0.037%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 22:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:29
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:35
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:44
BetUS🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -5.05%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 23:29
1xBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.55%E -1.55%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -9.51%E -4.27%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 23:40
Pinnacle🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.24%E -1.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 23:45
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.24%E -1.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 23:34
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:34
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Bally Bet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Svenska Spel🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
TAB🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:54
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 23:34
Caesars🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.62%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 23:32
Betway🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 23:39
Bet Right🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:54
Unibet (NL)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:44
Unibet🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:44
BetRivers🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:44
888sport🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:54
888sport (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:54
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:34
TABtouch🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.49%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 23:44
theScore Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.587%E -0.240%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 23:34
FanDuel🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.43%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 23:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 23:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 23:34
Fliff🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 23:44
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -5.05%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 23:35
Betsson🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 23:35
NordicBet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 23:39
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 23:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-02-28 23:34
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-02-28 23:39
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-02-28 23:49
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-02-28 23:54