La escuela de los momios

Northern Kentucky Norse v Wright St Raiders

Inicio: 2026-03-01 00:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

43 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Northern Kentucky Norse (Local)

Predicción 59.42%1.68momio equitativo
EV +1.61%
Ventaja +0.944%
Kelly +2.27%
Crecimiento +0.037%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%59.29%59.30%60.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.551.611.611.7164.52%62.09%62.11%58.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Wright St Raiders (Visitante)

Predicción 40.58%2.46momio equitativo
EV -0.587%
Ventaja -0.240%
Kelly -0.405%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.36%40.71%40.70%43.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.322.332.4545.45%43.07%42.92%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
PointsBet (AU)1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV +1.61%E +0.944%K +2.27%G +0.037%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -10.73%E -4.88%K -8.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-02-28 22:54
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:29
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:29
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:35
GTbets1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%3.2%2026-02-28 23:44
BetUS1.65I 60.61%NM 58.65%EV -1.95%E -1.18%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.35%EV -5.05%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.3%2026-02-28 23:29
1xBet1.64I 60.98%NM 57.62%EV -2.55%E -1.55%K -3.98%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.38%EV -9.51%E -4.27%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-28 23:40
Pinnacle1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.24%E -1.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 23:45
DraftKings1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -4.24%E -1.80%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-02-28 23:34
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:34
Bovada1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:34
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.3%2026-02-28 23:49
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Bally Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
Svenska Spel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
betPARX1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-02-28 23:49
TAB1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:54
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.73%E -2.31%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-02-28 23:34
Caesars1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -2.62%E -1.09%K -1.87%G +0.000%3.8%2026-02-28 23:32
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-28 23:39
Bet Right1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:54
Unibet (NL)1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:44
Unibet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:44
BetRivers1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.33%E -2.69%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.86%E -2.53%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 23:44
888sport1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:54
Mr Green (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:54
888sport (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:54
Neds1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:34
Ladbrokes (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:34
TABtouch1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.67%E -2.90%K -5.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-02-28 23:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 58.76%EV -4.92%E -3.08%K -8.20%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.24%EV -7.49%E -3.28%K -5.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 23:44
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -0.587%E -0.240%K -0.405%G +0.000%3.7%2026-02-28 23:34
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 59.95%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.05%EV -3.43%E -1.44%K -2.48%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 23:39
Betr (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.52%E -3.47%K -9.35%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.64%E -1.98%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-28 23:49
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 23:34
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.71%E -4.27%K -11.76%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 23:44
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.15%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 39.85%EV -5.05%E -2.16%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 23:35
Betsson1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 23:35
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.05%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.95%EV -5.46%E -2.34%K -4.10%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 23:39
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.89%E -5.09%K -14.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -8.70%E -3.87%K -6.96%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 23:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Polymarket1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-02-28 23:34
Novig1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%0.9%2026-02-28 23:39
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%2.0%2026-02-28 23:49
ProphetX1.66I 60.24%NM 58.91%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.09%2.3%2026-02-28 23:54