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North Dakota St Bison v UMKC Kangaroos
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
North Dakota St Bison (Local)
Prediction 93.57%1.07fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -3.52%
Kelly -120.89%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
91.78%93.46%93.72%94.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.021.021.0399.01%97.77%98.04%97.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
UMKC Kangaroos (Visit)
Prediction 6.43%15.54fair odd
EV +22.24%
Edge +1.17%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.275%
assuming max odds 19.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.09%6.54%6.28%8.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
11.5013.5313.0019.008.70%7.39%7.69%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: North Dakota St Bison (Local): 93.57%; UMKC Kangaroos (Visit): 6.43%. For UMKC Kangaroos (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 15.54. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 19.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +22.24%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +22.24%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.275% | 3.3% | 2026-02-21 16:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.37%E +0.551%K +0.586%G +0.055% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 14:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.37%E +0.551%K +0.586%G +0.055% | 3.9% | 2026-02-21 15:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +6.15%E +0.373%K +0.397%G +0.024% | 4.1% | 2026-02-21 14:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +2.94%E +0.184%K +0.196%G +0.006% | 4.3% | 2026-02-21 01:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.50%E -0.233%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.50%E -0.233%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.50%E -0.233%K -0.250%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -6.71%E -0.463%K -0.497%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-21 18:15 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.36%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:04 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.36%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 18:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.36%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.36%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-02-21 14:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-21 14:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.50%E -5.44%K -549.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.50%E -5.44%K -549.79%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-21 15:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -26.01%E -2.26%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -26.01%E -2.26%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -26.01%E -2.26%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -26.01%E -2.26%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-02-21 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 96.95% | 32.75I 3.05%NM 3.05% | 0.1% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94% | 1.2% | 2026-02-21 18:50 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90% | 2.1% | 2026-02-21 18:45 |
| Novig◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.18% | 16.67I 6.00%NM 5.82% | 3.1% | 2026-02-21 18:42 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.77% | 15.50I 6.45%NM 6.23% | 3.5% | 2026-02-21 18:05 |