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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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North Dakota St Bison v UMKC Kangaroos

开赛时间： 2026-02-21 19:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

North Dakota St Bison (主队)

预测 93.57%1.07公平赔率
EV -3.63%
优势 -3.52%
Kelly -120.89%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.03

博彩公司预测分布
91.78%93.46%93.72%94.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.011.021.021.0399.01%97.77%98.04%97.09%最小值均值中位数最大值

UMKC Kangaroos (客队)

预测 6.43%15.54公平赔率
EV +22.24%
优势 +1.17%
Kelly +1.24%
增长率 +0.275%

假设最高赔率为 19.00

博彩公司预测分布
5.09%6.54%6.28%8.22%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.5013.5313.0019.008.70%7.39%7.69%5.26%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：North Dakota St Bison (主队)：93.57%；UMKC Kangaroos (客队)：6.43%。 对于“UMKC Kangaroos (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.54。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为19.00，对应+22.24%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.91%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +22.24%E +1.17%K +1.24%G +0.275%3.3%2026-02-21 16:00
FanDuel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.37%E +0.551%K +0.586%G +0.055%3.9%2026-02-21 14:00
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.37%E +0.551%K +0.586%G +0.055%3.9%2026-02-21 15:39
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.18%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%16.50I 6.06%NM 5.82%EV +6.15%E +0.373%K +0.397%G +0.024%4.1%2026-02-21 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV +2.94%E +0.184%K +0.196%G +0.006%4.3%2026-02-21 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.50%E -0.233%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:15
Coral🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.50%E -0.233%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 18:15
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -3.50%E -0.233%K -0.250%G +0.000%4.7%2026-02-21 14:05
BetMGM🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.43%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.57%EV -6.71%E -0.463%K -0.497%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-21 18:15
888sport🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:15
Neds🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.93%E -0.709%K -0.764%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-21 18:15
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.36%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 14:04
TAB🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.36%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 18:30
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.36%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 14:19
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -16.36%E -1.26%K -1.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-02-21 14:04
LiveScore Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:20
LeoVegas🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:20
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:20
betPARX🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-02-21 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.56%E -4.47%K -228.11%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-21 14:05
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.50%E -5.44%K -549.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:40
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -5.50%E -5.44%K -549.79%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -22.80%E -1.90%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-21 15:40
BetRivers🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -26.01%E -2.26%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -26.01%E -2.26%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 17:20
Unibet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -26.01%E -2.26%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 17:20
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.78%EV -3.63%E -3.52%K -120.89%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.22%EV -26.01%E -2.26%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.8%2026-02-21 17:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
BetOpenly◎1.03I 97.09%NM 96.95%32.75I 3.05%NM 3.05%0.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Polymarket◎1.04I 96.15%NM 95.06%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.94%1.2%2026-02-21 18:50
Kalshi◎1.03I 97.09%NM 95.10%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.90%2.1%2026-02-21 18:45
Novig◎1.03I 97.09%NM 94.18%16.67I 6.00%NM 5.82%3.1%2026-02-21 18:42
ProphetX◎1.03I 97.09%NM 93.77%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.23%3.5%2026-02-21 18:05