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Norfolk St Spartans v Howard Bison
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Norfolk St Spartans (Local)
Prediction 29.84%3.35fair odd
EV -0.039%
Edge -0.012%
Kelly -0.017%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.42%29.86%29.82%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.113.103.3534.48%32.11%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Howard Bison (Visit)
Prediction 70.16%1.43fair odd
EV -3.18%
Edge -2.30%
Kelly -8.36%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%70.14%70.18%71.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.361.361.3875.19%73.47%73.53%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Norfolk St Spartans (Local): 29.84%; Howard Bison (Visit): 70.16%. For Norfolk St Spartans (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.351. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.350, with an expected value of -0.039%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.039%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.039%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.53%E -0.464%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.02%E -0.930%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.02%E -0.930%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.02%E -0.930%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.62%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.98%E -4.47%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.98%E -4.47%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.97%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.97%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Novig◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |