La escuela de los momiosMomios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.35
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Everygame | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.87%EV -0.039%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 71.13%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-03-06 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -0.039%E -0.012%K -0.017%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betway | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -1.53%E -0.464%K -0.666%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| theScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.02%E -0.930%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Paddy Power | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.02%E -0.930%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.02%E -0.930%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| 1xBet | 3.23I 30.96%NM 29.32%EV -3.62%E -1.12%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.68%EV -5.98%E -4.47%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.51%E -1.41%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| DraftKings | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Bet Right | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.01%E -1.91%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| LeoVegas | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| betPARX | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Bally Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| NordicBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BoyleSports | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Betsson | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.50%E -2.42%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Fliff | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.99%E -2.95%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%EV -5.98%E -4.47%K -17.60%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| BetRivers | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Unibet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.58%E -3.37%K -12.73%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 00:55 |
| Coral | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.48%E -3.49%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.69%E -5.03%K -20.26%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| TABtouch | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.97%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87%EV -11.97%E -4.06%K -6.14%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
| PlayUp | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -13.47%E -4.64%K -7.09%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -3.18%E -2.30%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-06 00:15 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.69% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.31% | 0.9% | 2026-03-06 00:45 |
| Polymarket | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-03-06 00:20 |
| ProphetX | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74% | 1.7% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |
| Novig | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47% | 7.5% | 2026-03-06 00:50 |