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Nicholls St Colonels v Northwestern St Demons
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Nicholls St Colonels (Local)
Prediction 53.36%1.87fair odd
EV -2.36%
Edge -1.29%
Kelly -2.84%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.83
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.48%53.30%53.25%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.801.8358.14%55.98%55.56%54.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northwestern St Demons (Visit)
Prediction 46.64%2.14fair odd
EV -2.05%
Edge -0.975%
Kelly -1.86%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%46.70%46.75%48.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.71%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Nicholls St Colonels (Local): 53.36%; Northwestern St Demons (Visit): 46.64%. For Northwestern St Demons (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.14. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.10, with an expected value of -2.05%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-08 19:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-09 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.64%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 23:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.43%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 23:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 23:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 00:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 00:14 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-09 00:14 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-03-08 23:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-03-09 00:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.91%E -5.71%K -11.99%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-09 00:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.49%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.85%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-09 00:05 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.03%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.03%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.975%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-09 00:23 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.975%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-08 15:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 23:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-09 00:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 23:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-08 23:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 23:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:34 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 18:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-03-08 23:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 18:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.23%E -4.78%K -11.43%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.85%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-09 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13% | 0.1% | 2026-03-09 00:24 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 0.4% | 2026-03-09 00:20 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61% | 1.0% | 2026-03-08 22:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80% | 2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20% | 1.9% | 2026-03-09 00:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77% | 3.8% | 2026-03-09 00:20 |