A Escola das Odds

Nicholls St Colonels v Northwestern St Demons

Início: 2026-03-09 00:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

42 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Nicholls St Colonels (Local)

Previsão 53.36%1.87odd justa
EV -2.36%
Vantagem -1.29%
Kelly -2.84%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.83

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
51.48%53.30%53.25%54.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.721.791.801.8358.14%55.98%55.56%54.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Northwestern St Demons (Visitante)

Previsão 46.64%2.14odd justa
EV -2.05%
Vantagem -0.975%
Kelly -1.86%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.74%46.70%46.75%48.52%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.71%50.00%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (42 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LiveScore Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 23:49
LeoVegas1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 23:50
Virgin Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 23:49
betPARX1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 23:50
Bally Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 23:49
Svenska Spel1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 23:49
ATG (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 23:49
Hard Rock Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -2.36%E -1.29%K -2.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 19:19
DraftKings1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-09 00:20
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -7.64%E -3.86%K -7.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 23:49
Unibet (NL)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 23:49
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -2.89%E -1.59%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 23:50
TABtouch1.81I 55.25%NM 52.12%EV -3.43%E -1.89%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 47.88%EV -8.11%E -4.12%K -8.36%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 23:50
theScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 23:54
GTbets1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 23:30
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 00:00
PointsBet (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 23:49
BetOnline.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 00:14
LowVig.ag1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-09 00:14
Caesars1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-03-08 23:30
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%5.6%2026-03-09 00:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 23:49
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.96%E -2.20%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -10.91%E -5.71%K -11.99%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-09 00:25
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.49%E -2.51%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -4.85%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-09 00:05
FanDuel1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -5.03%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -3.91%E -1.90%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-08 23:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.03%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:35
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -5.03%E -2.82%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 18:35
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.975%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-09 00:23
Everygame1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.05%E -0.975%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 15:59
BetMGM1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 23:29
TAB1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.38%E -2.14%K -4.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-08 18:35
Bet Right1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -5.56%E -3.14%K -7.22%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-09 00:24
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.63%E -3.79%K -8.84%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 23:54
Fliff1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -7.16%E -4.12%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-08 23:44
SportsBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.87%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.13%EV -5.78%E -2.86%K -5.67%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 23:49
NordicBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:34
Betsson1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:30
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 18:39
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.71%E -3.36%K -6.71%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 23:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:35
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 52.99%EV -7.69%E -4.45%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.01%EV -9.04%E -4.64%K -9.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 18:35
Marathon Bet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -8.23%E -4.78%K -11.43%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -4.85%E -2.38%K -4.66%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-09 00:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.89I 52.91%NM 52.87%2.12I 47.17%NM 47.13%0.1%2026-03-09 00:24
ProphetX1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13%0.4%2026-03-09 00:20
Polymarket1.82I 54.95%NM 54.39%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.61%1.0%2026-03-08 22:10
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 54.80%2.17I 46.08%NM 45.20%1.9%2026-03-09 00:19
Novig1.81I 55.25%NM 53.23%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.77%3.8%2026-03-09 00:20