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New Orleans Privateers v SE Louisiana Lions
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New Orleans Privateers (Local)
Prediction 72.35%1.38fair odd
EV -2.33%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -6.65%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
70.65%72.33%72.34%73.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.281.311.321.3578.13%76.09%75.76%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
SE Louisiana Lions (Visit)
Prediction 27.65%3.62fair odd
EV -0.457%
Edge -0.127%
Kelly -0.176%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.53%27.67%27.66%29.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.243.413.453.6030.86%29.31%28.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New Orleans Privateers (Local): 72.35%; SE Louisiana Lions (Visit): 27.65%. For SE Louisiana Lions (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -0.457%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (40 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.33%E -1.72%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.05%E -2.28%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-03 00:37 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-03 00:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-03-02 22:05 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-03-03 00:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-03 00:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-02 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.457%E -0.127%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-03-02 23:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-03-02 20:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-03 00:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000% | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -10.41%E -3.21%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-02 20:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.457%E -0.127%K -0.176%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-02 20:19 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-02 20:49 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-03 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-02 23:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-02 23:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-02 23:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-02 20:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-02 20:19 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-03 00:35 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.67%E -5.17%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-02 16:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.67%E -5.17%K -23.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-03-02 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.39%E -5.78%K -26.40%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-02 20:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOpenly◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 73.14% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 26.86% | -0.2% | 2026-03-03 00:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15% | 0.9% | 2026-03-03 00:35 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73% | 1.1% | 2026-03-02 23:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.9% | 2026-03-03 00:54 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 2.2% | 2026-03-02 23:50 |