A Escola das Odds

New Orleans Privateers v SE Louisiana Lions

Início: 2026-03-03 01:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

40 casas de apostas (13 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New Orleans Privateers (Local)

Previsão 72.35%1.38odd justa
EV -2.33%
Vantagem -1.72%
Kelly -6.65%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.35

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
70.65%72.33%72.34%73.47%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.281.311.321.3578.13%76.09%75.76%74.07%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

SE Louisiana Lions (Visitante)

Previsão 27.65%3.62odd justa
EV -0.457%
Vantagem -0.127%
Kelly -0.176%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.53%27.67%27.66%29.35%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.243.413.453.6030.86%29.31%28.99%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (40 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
TAB1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -2.33%E -1.72%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%4.8%2026-03-03 00:20
Everygame1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -3.05%E -2.28%K -8.98%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-02 23:50
Bovada1.33I 75.19%NM 72.46%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.54%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-03 00:37
DraftKings1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:20
GTbets1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-03 00:10
BetOnline.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 22:05
LowVig.ag1.33I 75.19%NM 72.18%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.82%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-03-02 22:05
Pinnacle1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.78%E -2.84%K -11.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-03 00:55
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 20:49
LiveScore Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 20:49
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 20:49
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 20:49
ATG (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 20:49
Virgin Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 20:49
Bally Bet1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 20:49
Bet Right1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-03 00:40
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-02 23:00
BetRivers1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 20:49
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 20:49
TABtouch1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 20:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 20:49
Unibet1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.50%E -3.41%K -14.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -8.75%E -2.65%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 20:49
theScore Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -0.457%E -0.127%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-02 23:45
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 73.05%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.95%EV -1.84%E -0.518%K -0.721%G +0.000%4.5%2026-03-02 20:45
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-02 20:49
PointsBet (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 00:20
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-03 00:19
Marathon Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 71.21%EV -5.22%E -3.99%K -16.85%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 28.79%EV -10.41%E -3.21%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-02 20:20
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -0.457%E -0.127%K -0.176%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-02 20:19
1xBet1.30I 76.92%NM 72.75%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.25%EV -4.05%E -1.17%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-02 20:49
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-03 00:20
Mr Green (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 23:45
888sport1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 23:45
888sport (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.99%E -1.76%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-02 23:45
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-02 20:19
Betsson1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-02 20:19
PlayUp1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -5.95%E -4.57%K -19.82%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -10.13%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-03 00:35
William Hill1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.67%E -5.17%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -3.22%E -0.921%K -1.29%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-02 16:29
Fliff1.29I 77.52%NM 72.20%EV -6.67%E -5.17%K -23.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -7.37%E -2.20%K -3.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-03-02 23:00
SportsBet1.28I 78.13%NM 72.94%EV -7.39%E -5.78%K -26.40%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -4.60%E -1.33%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-02 20:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
BetOpenly1.37I 72.99%NM 73.14%3.73I 26.81%NM 26.86%-0.2%2026-03-03 00:55
ProphetX1.36I 73.53%NM 72.85%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.15%0.9%2026-03-03 00:35
Polymarket1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-03-02 23:40
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.9%2026-03-03 00:54
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%2.2%2026-03-02 23:50